Result
2:1
04/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Cyprus League - Round 16
- Referee: Tehrani A. (Cyp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Marques P. ⚽,
- 25', Lam T. 🟨,
- 31', Lam T. ↓, Vouros P. ↑,
- 38', 1 - 1, Bruno ⚽,
- 38', Bruno 🟨,
- 40', Luckassen D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', 2 - 1, Rodrigues G. ⚽,
- 67', Luckassen D. ↓, Jaja ↑,
- 67', Quina D. ↓, Bassouamina M. ↑,
- 67', Marques P. ↓, Duodu C. ↑,
- 67', Gaspar B. ↓, Shikkis A. ↑,
- 70', Duodu C. 🟨,
- 70', David Luiz 🟨,
- 74', Thomas B. 🟨,
- 82', Dragomir V. ↓, Odefalk W. ↑,
- 84', Thomas B. ↓, Spoljaric D. ↑,
- 84', Weissbeck G. ↓, Zmrhal J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Apollon Limassol
24% | Draw
28.9% | Paphos
47.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Apollon Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apollon Limassol than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Apollon Limassol - Paphos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.84 ↑
(3.6) |
3.19 ↓
(3.3) |
1.96 ↓
(2.04) |
8.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Apollon Limassol - Paphos?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Paphos will win
(18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paphos will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Apollon Limassol won 1.
- Recent performances by Apollon Limassol have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Paphos is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Apollon Limassol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Paphos could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Apollon Limassol: Markovic L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Paphos: Langa B.
(International duty)
Pedrao
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Apollon Limassol won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 16:28. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Apollon Limassol won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Apollon Limassol won against Paphos?
Apollon Limassol has won 2 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paphos won against Apollon Limassol?
Paphos has won 9 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Apollon Limassol - Paphos were as follows:
13.09.2025
Paphos
-
Apollon Limassol
0:1
07.05.2025
Apollon Limassol
-
Paphos
0:2
30.04.2025
Paphos
-
Apollon Limassol
4:2
22.04.2025
Paphos
-
Apollon Limassol
2:0
16.02.2025
Paphos
-
Apollon Limassol
1:0
Latest results of Apollon Limassol
Cypriot First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Omonia ✔ | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 56:17 | 39 | 55 |
| 2 | Apollon ✔ | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 33:20 | 13 | 49 |
| 3 | AEK Larnaca ✔ | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 44:22 | 22 | 47 |
| 4 | Pafos ✔ | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 42:24 | 18 | 45 |
| 5 | APOEL ✔ | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 43:24 | 19 | 42 |
| 6 | Aris ✔ | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 43:24 | 19 | 40 |
| 7 | AEL Limassol ✔ | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 29:34 | -5 | 33 |
| 8 | Omonia Aradippou ✔ | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 21:28 | -7 | 31 |
| 9 | Anorthosis ✔ | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 20:32 | -12 | 28 |
| 10 | Chloraka ✔ | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 23:41 | -18 | 26 |
| 11 | Krasava ✔ | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22:29 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Ol. Nicosia ✔ | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 20:31 | -11 | 25 |
| 13 | Achnas ✔ | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 24:40 | -16 | 23 |
| 14 | Paralimni ✔ | 24 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 5:59 | -54 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )
Cyprus League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Omonia is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
Apollon is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
AEK Larnaca is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
Pafos is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
APOEL is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
Aris is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
AEL Limassol is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Omonia Aradippou is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Anorthosis is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Chloraka is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Krasava is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Ol. Nicosia is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Achnas is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Paralimni is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
