Result
4:1
02/05/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 7
- Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
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| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.79 |
| Ball possession |
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| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
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| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
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| 9 | 4 |
| Big chances |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
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| 88% (335/379) | 86% (441/511) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 4 | 3 |
| Red cards |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 1.64 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 2.59 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
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| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
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| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
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| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 21 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
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| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
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| 88% (335/379) | 86% (441/511) |
| Long passes |
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| 41% (13/32) | 65% (32/49) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 76% (63/83) | 75% (86/115) |
| Crosses |
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| 24% (4/17) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.93 | 0.55 |
| Throw ins |
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| 15 | 22 |
| Fouls |
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| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
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| 65% (13/20) | 32% (8/25) |
| Duels won |
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| 50 | 54 |
| Clearances |
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| 17 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
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| 15 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.84 | 2.59 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.16 | -1.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', Lucas Gazal 🟨,
- 24', 0 - 1, Gege ⚽,
- 26', Paulo Baya 🟨,
- 30', Cadu ↓, Anselmo Ramon ↑,
- 30', Nicolas 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 46', Kaua Rocha ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 46', Paulo Baya ↓, Welliton ↑,
- 54', 1 - 1, Vitinho ⚽, Mauricio Junior (A),
- 56', Vitinho 🟨,
- 56', Ryan 🟨,
- 61', 2 - 1, Vitinho ⚽, Pierre (A),
- 65', Rodrigo Soares ↓, Diego Caito ↑,
- 65', Baldoria ↓, Brayann ↑,
- 70', Ryan ↓, Lucas Sasha ↑,
- 70', Pochettino T. ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
- 72', Diego Caito 🟨,
- 76', Pierre ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
- 78', 3 - 1, Miritello J. B. ⚽, Britez E. (A),
- 80', Jean Carlos ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
- 80', Luquinhas ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
- 83', Nicolas 🟨,
- 90+1', 4 - 1, Miritello J. B. ⚽, Mailton (A),
Chances of winning
Fortaleza 53.1% | Draw 28.4% | Goiás 18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Fortaleza - Goiás Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.77 ↓ (1.92) |
3.29 ↑ (3.13) |
4.98 ↑ (4.25) |
7.2% (7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Goiás?
Users Predictions:
Fortaleza will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fortaleza will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 2.
- Fortaleza is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Goiás is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Goiás may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Fortaleza is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Cardona T.
(Muscle Injury)
Fuentes G.
(Injury)
Lucas Crispim
(Inactive)
Luiz Fernando
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Goiás: Diego Caito
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Fortaleza: Joao Ricardo
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Goiás: Lourenco
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Goiás?
Fortaleza has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Goiás won against Fortaleza?
Goiás has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Goiás were as follows:
03.12.2023
Fortaleza
-
Goiás
1:0
05.08.2023
Goiás
-
Fortaleza
1:0
01.10.2022
Goiás
-
Fortaleza
0:1
Latest results of Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fortaleza | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 2 | Sao Bernardo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Sport Recife | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Operario-PR | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Vila Nova FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Juventude | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Nautico | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Ceara | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Botafogo SP | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 11 | Avai | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | Cuiaba | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | Goias | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | CRB | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 5 |
| 19 | Londrina | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 20 | America MG | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )