Result
3:2
19/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 5
- Referee: Casagrande L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.92 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (264/342) | 81% (348/429) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (264/342) | 81% (348/429) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (15/46) | 52% (29/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (46/72) | 68% (55/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.15 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 100% (6/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.02 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Luiz Fernando ⚽,
- 13', 1 - 1, Fellipe Mateus ⚽, Nicolas (A),
- 29', 2 - 1, Ruan Carvalho (Own goal),
- 32', Lucas Emanoel 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', Ryan 🟨,
- 50', 2 - 2, Bruno Alves ⚽, Romarinho (A),
- 56', Marcelo Hermes 🟨,
- 60', Ruan Carvalho 🟨,
- 64', Romarinho ↓, Waguininho ↑,
- 67', Pierre ↓, Lucas Sasha ↑,
- 67', Mauricio Junior ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
- 71', Fellipe Mateus ↓, Hiago Alves ↑,
- 71', Nicolas ↓, Otero R. ↑,
- 77', Lucas Emanoel ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
- 77', 3 - 2, Bruno Alves (Own goal),
- 82', Ruan Carvalho ↓, Leo Mana ↑,
- 82', Bruno Alves ↓, Bidu ↑,
- 88', Mailton ↓, Welliton ↑,
- 88', Ryan ↓, Ronald ↑,
- 90+5', Rodriguinho 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza
49.2% | Draw
29.3% | Criciúma
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortaleza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-2%)
Fortaleza - Criciúma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.72) |
3.2 ↓
(3.45) |
4.26 ↓
(4.65) |
7.3%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Criciúma?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Criciúma will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Fortaleza has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Criciúma is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Fortaleza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Fortaleza is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Bruninho
(Inactive)
Cardona T.
(Muscle Injury)
Joao Ricardo
(Inactive)
Lucas Crispim
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Criciúma: Alisson
(Inactive)
Caue Santos
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Heitor Roca
(Knee Injury)
Jhonata Robert
(Inactive)
Rodrigo
(Inactive)
Willean Lepo
(Red Card)
Yuri Tanque
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Fortaleza: Fuentes G.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Criciúma?
Fortaleza has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Criciúma won against Fortaleza?
Criciúma has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Criciúma were as follows:
10.08.2024
Fortaleza
-
Criciúma
1:0
24.07.2024
Criciúma
-
Fortaleza
1:1
Latest results of Fortaleza
Latest results of Criciúma
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fortaleza | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 2 | Sao Bernardo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Sport Recife | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Vila Nova FC | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12:9 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Operario-PR | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Juventude | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Nautico | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Ceara | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Botafogo SP | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 11 | Avai | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | Cuiaba | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | Goias | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | CRB | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 5 |
| 19 | Londrina | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 20 | America MG | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
