Result
1:0
20/07/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 21
- Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (240/311) | 59% (131/222) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (240/311) | 59% (131/222) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (14/34) | 40% (25/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (46/75) | 46% (44/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (7/7) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', Bentaberry B. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 0, Castillo Saa J. L. ⚽, Quintero S. (A),
- 45+3', Quintero D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Bentaberry B. ↓, Burbano R. ↑,
- 46', Penilla C. ↓, Orejuela C. ↑,
- 46', Charcopa J. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
- 46', Cuero Palacio J. R. ↓, Quinonez J. ↑,
- 56', Chala Rosales W. J. 🟨,
- 65', Arce L. ↓, Tapiero S. ↑,
- 65', Mina G. ↓, Verges J. ↑,
- 66', Cevallos J. ↓, Barco A. ↑,
- 66', Castelli F. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 74', Caicedo L. 🟨,
- 76', Castillo Saa J. L. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
- 86', Caicedo L. ↓, Leon F. ↑,
- 90+4', Peralta K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Emelec
57.8% | Draw
25.4% | Mushuc Runa
16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Emelec - Mushuc Runa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.64) |
3.63 ↓
(3.68) |
5.51 ↑
(5.14) |
7.9%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Emelec - Mushuc Runa?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Emelec will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Emelec: 50.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 1.
- Recent performances by Emelec have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mushuc Runa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Mushuc Runa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Emelec is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 41:17. (average 2.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Emelec won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:4. (average 2.8:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Mushuc Runa?
Emelec has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Emelec?
Mushuc Runa has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - Mushuc Runa were as follows:
29.03.2025
Mushuc Runa
-
Emelec
1:1
11.08.2024
Mushuc Runa
-
Emelec
3:0
08.03.2024
Emelec
-
Mushuc Runa
0:0
23.09.2023
Emelec
-
Mushuc Runa
3:1
23.04.2023
Mushuc Runa
-
Emelec
0:0
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 45:20 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37:29 | 8 | 44 |
| 4 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 30:25 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Aucas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Orense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 36 |
| 9 | Emelec | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
| 11 | Delfin | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 12 | Macara | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 23:26 | -3 | 27 |
| 13 | Manta | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 31:42 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
