Result
2:5
06/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 42
- Referee: Bourne D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.96 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (209/347) | 64% (232/360) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 4.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (209/347) | 64% (232/360) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (20/81) | 41% (38/92) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (60/129) | 62% (96/154) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/26) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.77 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 94% (17/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.04 | 1.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.96 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', Shelton M. 🟨,
- 21', Crichlow-Noble R. 🟨,
- 45+1', Rooney S. 🟥,
- 45+3', 0 - 1, Stead C. ⚽, Crichlow-Noble R. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 4)
- 46', Coughlan R. ↓, Bennett R. ↑,
- 46', Shelton M. ↓, Hartigan A. ↑,
- 47', 0 - 2, Hartigan A. ⚽, Glover R. (A),
- 51', 1 - 2, Neal H. ⚽, Ennis E. (A),
- 60', Chinedu P. ↓, Kanu I. ↑,
- 65', Glover R. 🟨,
- 65', Potter F. 🟨,
- 69', 2 - 2, Helm M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 74', Kizzi J. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 75', Glover R. ↓, Jaiyesimi D. ↑,
- 76', Powell J. 🟨,
- 77', 2 - 3, Tshimanga K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 78', Evans C. ↓, Osong D. E. ↑,
- 79', Neal H. ↓, Davies J. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 4, Tshimanga K. ⚽, Smith K. (A),
- 82', Ennis E. ↓, McLean C. ↑,
- 82', Helm M. ↓, Davies W. ↑,
- 90', Tshimanga K. ↓, Winterburn B. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 5, Jaiyesimi D. ⚽, Stead C. (A),
Chances of winning
Fleetwood Town 33.1% | Draw 28.5% | Barnet 38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Fleetwood Town - Barnet Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.83 ↓ (2.85) |
3.27 ↓ (3.35) |
2.42 ↑ (2.35) |
7.3% (7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town - Barnet?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Barnet will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barnet: 29.6% – 90.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barnet will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 12).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Fleetwood: Hume D.
(Head Injury)
McCann L.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Barnet: Collinge D.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J.
(Inactive)
Mullarkey T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Barnet: Osadebe E.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fleetwood won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Barnet?
Fleetwood Town has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barnet won against Fleetwood Town?
Barnet has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fleetwood Town - Barnet were as follows:
01.11.2025
Fleetwood Town
-
Barnet
2:1
02.08.2025
Barnet
-
Fleetwood Town
0:2
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Notts Co | 42 | 23 | 7 | 12 | 71:45 | 26 | 76 |
| 4 | Cambridge Utd | 41 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 58:31 | 27 | 74 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 42 | 23 | 4 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 73 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 41 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 63:52 | 11 | 68 |
| 8 | Crewe | 42 | 19 | 9 | 14 | 61:50 | 11 | 66 |
| 9 | Oldham | 41 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 52:35 | 17 | 65 |
| 10 | Grimsby | 40 | 18 | 11 | 11 | 59:43 | 16 | 65 |
| 11 | Barnet | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 57:47 | 10 | 64 |
| 12 | Walsall | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 52:46 | 6 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 51:53 | -2 | 55 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 41 | 14 | 9 | 18 | 40:46 | -6 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 41 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 49 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 39:66 | -27 | 44 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 40 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 44:67 | -23 | 43 |
| 20 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 41 | 9 | 9 | 23 | 48:71 | -23 | 36 |
| 22 | Newport | 42 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 41:72 | -31 | 34 |
| 23 | Barrow | 41 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 38:65 | -27 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 34:64 | -30 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League