Result
1:1
17/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 38
- Referee: Wager H. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.27 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (257/365) | 52% (110/212) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (257/365) | 52% (110/212) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (33/79) | 23% (17/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (74/132) | 51% (57/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 38% (8/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.79 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Glover R. 🟨,
- 45+1', Bajrami G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', 0 - 1, Shelton M. ⚽, Senior A. (A),
- 58', Tavares N. 🟨,
- 62', Lolos K. ↓, Darcy R. ↑,
- 62', Russell J. ↓, Forster H. ↑,
- 69', Kanu I. 🟨,
- 72', Malone S. ↓, Odimayo A. ↑,
- 76', Tshimanga K. ↓, Hartigan A. ↑,
- 81', Glover R. ↓, Assombalonga B. ↑,
- 81', Kanu I. ↓, Browne R. ↑,
- 83', Pereira D. ↓, Adeyemo T. ↑,
- 88', Browne R. 🟨,
- 89', 1 - 1, Orsi-Dadomo D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90', Crichlow-Noble R. 🟨,
- 90', Darcy R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Crawley Town
28.1% | Draw
25.7% | Barnet
46.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barnet's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barnet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Crawley Town - Barnet Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.33 ↑
(2.84) |
3.61 ↑
(3.3) |
2.03 ↓
(2.3) |
6.9%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Barnet?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Barnet will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crawley: 11.9% – 76.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Barnet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Barnet will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Crawley: Anderson M.
(Injury)
Cashman D.
(Inactive)
Vassell T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Crawley: Loft R.
(Injury)
Richards L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Barnet: Osadebe E.
(Inactive)
Smith K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Barnet?
Crawley Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barnet won against Crawley Town?
Barnet has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Barnet were as follows:
01.01.2026
Barnet
-
Crawley Town
2:1
Latest results of Crawley Town
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
