Luke Littler vs Josh Rock – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Darts World Matchplay Luke Littler - Josh Rock
Result
17:14
26/07/2025 at 16:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Matchplay - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo

Chances of winning


Luke Littler
66.6%
Josh Rock
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.8% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luke Littler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Josh Rock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luke Littler than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Josh Rock than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Luke Littler - Josh Rock Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.38)

    2.81
    (2.9)
    7.1%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 29.50
  • What is the prediction for Luke Littler - Josh Rock?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Littler will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Rock will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Littler (votes: 1 - 50%). Rock (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 17:13.
  • Preview Facts
    • Littler is ranked World Ranking: 2. Rock is ranked World Ranking: 17.
    • Littler has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Rock is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Littler may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Littler is seen as the favorite.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Luke Littler
    Latest results of Josh Rock
    25.07.2025 Josh Rock - Gerwyn Price 16:11
    21.07.2025 Ross Smith - Josh Rock 5:10
    13.07.2025 Jonny Clayton - Josh Rock 6:2
    12.07.2025 Josh Rock - Justin Hood 6:1
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Humphries L. (1)van Veen G.8 : 10
    2Noppert D. (16)Menzies C.10 : 2
    3Aspinall N. (8)Nijman W.6 : 10
    4Wade J. (9)Cullen J.10 : 3
    5Bunting S. (4)Joyce R.10 : 8
    6Anderson G. (13)Woodhouse L.10 : 5
    7Clayton J. (5)Schindler M.10 : 7
    8Chisnall D. (12)De Decker M.7 : 10
    9Littler L. (2)Searle R.10 : 2
    10Wright P. (15)Wattimena J.8 : 10
    11Heta D. (7)Gilding A.10 : 12
    12Cross R. (10)van Duijvenbode D.8 : 10
    13van Gerwen M. (3)van Barneveld R.10 : 6
    14Smith R. (14)Rock J.5 : 10
    15Dobey C. (6)Pietreczko R.10 : 5
    16Price G. (11)Gurney D.10 : 7

    1/8-finals
    1van Veen G.Noppert D. (16)11 : 5
    2Nijman W.Wade J. (9)5 : 11
    3Bunting S. (4)Anderson G. (13)12 : 10
    4Clayton J. (5)De Decker M.11 : 8
    5Littler L. (2)Wattimena J.13 : 11
    6Gilding A.van Duijvenbode D.11 : 5
    7van Gerwen M. (3)Rock J.11 : 13
    8Dobey C. (6)Price G. (11)3 : 11

    Quarter-finals
    1van Veen G.Wade J. (9)13 : 16
    2Bunting S. (4)Clayton J. (5)7 : 16
    3Littler L. (2)Gilding A.16 : 14
    4Rock J.Price G. (11)16 : 11

    Semi-finals
    1Wade J. (9)Clayton J. (5)20 : 18
    2Littler L. (2)Rock J.17 : 14

    Final
    1Wade J. (9)Littler L. (2)13 : 18