Result
1:4
27/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 2.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (297/367) | 88% (489/555) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 2.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 3.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (297/367) | 88% (489/555) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (21/46) | 54% (25/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (54/83) | 75% (140/186) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 22 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.58 | 0.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 21', Zulj P. 🟨,
- 27', Sataporn W. 🟨,
- 28', 0 - 1, Zulj P. (Pen),
- 40', 0 - 2, Mulic F. ⚽, Bunmathan T. (A),
- 45+4', 0 - 3, Mulic F. ⚽, Zulj R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Zulj P. ↓, Jaided S. ↑,
- 46', Zulj R. ↓, Causic G. ↑,
- 46', Pombuppha C. ↓, Laptrakul C. ↑,
- 46', Bunsan K. ↓, Conrado ↑,
- 54', 1 - 3, Islame Y. ⚽, Caique Lemes (A),
- 60', Chotmuangpak T. ↓, Mueanta S. ↑,
- 64', Mueanta S. ↓, Charoenrattanapirom P. ↑,
- 69', Worasut N. ↓, Biaothungoi P. ↑,
- 77', Mulic F. ↓, Sukjitthammakul P. ↑,
- 82', Biaothungoi P. 🟨,
- 86', 1 - 4, Dougall K. ⚽, Causic G. (A),
- 87', Conrado 🟨,
- 88', Diego Carioca ↓, Dechmitr S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ayutthaya United
8.5% | Draw
12.1% | Buriram United
79.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ayutthaya United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Buriram United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Buriram United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayutthaya United than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buriram United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ayutthaya United - Buriram United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
11.65 ↑
(6.89) |
8.2 ↑
(5.34) |
1.25 ↓
(1.32) |
0.6%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Ayutthaya United - Buriram United?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Buriram (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Buriram (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In recent matches, Ayutthaya United has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Buriram is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ayutthaya United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Buriram is the clear favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ayutthaya United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
- Including home match between the teams, Ayutthaya United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Ayutthaya United won against Buriram United?
Ayutthaya United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Buriram United won against Ayutthaya United?
Buriram United has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ayutthaya United - Buriram United were as follows:
27.07.2025
Ayutthaya United
-
Buriram United
0:3
Latest results of Ayutthaya United
Latest results of Buriram United
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram | 21 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 57:20 | 37 | 53 |
| 2 | Ratchaburi | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Port MTI FC | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 42:19 | 23 | 40 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 33:21 | 12 | 40 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 33:22 | 11 | 39 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 29:28 | 1 | 31 |
| 7 | Ayutthaya Utd | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 29:31 | -2 | 29 |
| 8 | Rayong FC | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 32:29 | 3 | 28 |
| 9 | Chiangrai Utd | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Uthai Thani | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 34:37 | -3 | 25 |
| 11 | Chonburi | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 25 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 22 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 29:39 | -10 | 21 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 16:32 | -16 | 21 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 22:44 | -22 | 16 |
| 15 | Muang Thong Utd | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19:42 | -23 | 15 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14:35 | -21 | 13 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
