Montana vs Lokomotiv Sofia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
02/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • efbet League - Round 18
  • Referee: Chinkov V. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
84
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
22
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Total shots
84
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
52
Corner Kicks
22
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1413
Throw-ins
3125
Fouls
1212

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Delev S. ,
  • 31', Bidounga R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', Ali D. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Dimitrov B. ,
  • 66', 1 - 2, Stanoev K. ,
  • 71', Minchev G. , Caue Caruzo ,
  • 71', Stanoev K. , Luann ,
  • 72', Iliev K. 🟨,
  • 75', Acheampong C. , Atanasov P. ,
  • 75', Kokonov I. , Vitinho ,
  • 81', Sakor V. , Iliadis I. ,
  • 82', Bidounga R. 🟨,
  • 84', Vitinho 🟨,
  • 85', Dost E. , Diego Raposo ,
  • 85', Delev S. , Acka D. ,
  • 90+4', Ali D. , Miloshev K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Montana
28.1%
Draw
30.7%
Lokomotiv Sofia
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.1% 28.6% 45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8% 27.2% 47.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Lokomotiv Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montana than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotiv Sofia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Montana - Lokomotiv Sofia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.31
    (3.5)
    3.04
    (3.2)
    2.26
    (2.02)
    7.4%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Montana - Lokomotiv Sofia?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Montana will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Lokomotiv Sofia will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiv Sofia: 40%93.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lokomotiv Sofia will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montana won 4.
    • Montana has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lokomotiv Sofia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Montana has had a series of away games.
    • Lokomotiv Sofia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Montana won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montana won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montana - Lokomotiv Sofia were as follows:
    03.08.2025 Lokomotiv Sofia - Montana 3:0
    Latest results of Montana
    23.11.2025 Montana - Levski Sofia 1:5
    09.11.2025 Slavia Sofia - Montana 2:1
    02.11.2025 CSKA Sofia - Montana 2:1
    29.10.2025 Marek Dupnitsa - Montana 1:4
    Latest results of Lokomotiv Sofia
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levski Sofia ✔ 30224464:224270
    2Ludogorets ✔ 29179357:193860
    3CSKA Sofia ✔ 30168643:232056
    4CSKA 1948 Sofia ✔ 29175746:311556
    5Lok. Plovdiv ✔ 301113630:33-346
    6Cherno More ✔ 291111733:221144
    7Arda ✔ 291181032:27541
    8Slavia Sofia291081136:33338
    9Lok. Sofia299101038:36237
    10Botev Plovdiv291071237:37037
    11Botev Vratsa ✔ 298111021:24-335
    12Dobrudzha ✔ 29751723:40-1726
    13Spartak Varna ✔ 295111325:50-2526
    14Septemvri Sofia ✔ 29741825:58-3325
    15Beroe ✔ 304111519:44-2523
    16Montana ✔ 29371915:45-3016

          Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
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    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Levski Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
    Ludogorets is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
    CSKA Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
    CSKA 1948 Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
    Lok. Plovdiv is Qualified for efbet League (Conference League Group )
    Cherno More is Qualified for efbet League (Conference League Group )
    Arda is Qualified for efbet League (Conference League Group )
    Botev Vratsa is efbet League (Relegation Group )
    Dobrudzha is efbet League (Relegation Group )
    Spartak Varna is efbet League (Relegation Group )
    Septemvri Sofia is efbet League (Relegation Group )
    Beroe is efbet League (Relegation Group )
    Montana is efbet League (Relegation Group )