Copenhagen vs Malmö – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Copenhagen - Malmö
Result
5:0
12/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkFCK TV
israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.690.71
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
88% (427/488)84% (378/451)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.690.71
xG on target (xGOT)
2.580.21
Total shots
127
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
21
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
2917
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
615
Passes
88% (427/488)84% (378/451)
Long passes
46% (25/54)42% (16/38)
Passes in final third
82% (116/141)76% (71/94)
Crosses
57% (8/14)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.150.77
Throw-ins
1216
Fouls
156
Tackles
54% (7/13)63% (10/16)
Duels won
3650
Clearances
207
Interceptions
149
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.212.58
Goals prevented
0.21-2.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 20', Rosengren O. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Huescas R. , Cornelius A. (A),
  • 36', Djuric A. 🟨,
  • 43', 2 - 0, Robert , Elyounoussi M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Djuric A. , Ali T. ,
  • 51', 3 - 0, Elyounoussi M. , Larsson J. (A),
  • 59', Rosengren O. , Ekong E. ,
  • 59', Johnsen L. , Skogmar A. ,
  • 65', Larsson J. , Claesson V. ,
  • 67', 4 - 0, Mattsson M. , Elyounoussi M. (A),
  • 69', 5 - 0, Robert , Cornelius A. (A),
  • 71', Berg O. , Busuladzic K. ,
  • 71', Cornelius A. , Moukoko Y. ,
  • 71', Mattsson M. , Clem W. ,
  • 76', Lopez M. , Meling B. ,
  • 77', Huescas R. , Zague Y. ,
  • 80', Haksabanovic S. , Gudjohnsen D. T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Copenhagen
54.8%
Draw
27.5%
Malmö
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 29.2% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 28.1% 20%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Copenhagen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Copenhagen - Malmö Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.92)
    3.46
    (3.28)
    5.31
    (4.61)
    5.6%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Copenhagen - Malmö?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - no (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Copenhagen will win (109 of 127 users predict this - 85.83%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.76%91.9%. The data is statistically significant.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Copenhagen will win (33 of 37 users predict this - 89.19%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Malmö may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Copenhagen is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Copenhagen won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.4:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Copenhagen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Copenhagen - Malmö were as follows:
    05.08.2025 Malmö - Copenhagen 0:0
    Latest results of Copenhagen
    08.08.2025 Copenhagen - AGF Aarhus 2:3
    05.08.2025 Malmö - Copenhagen 0:0
    01.08.2025 Fredericia - Copenhagen 0:2
    29.07.2025 Drita Gjilan - Copenhagen 0:1
    Latest results of Malmö
    09.08.2025 Malmö - Mjällby 1:3
    05.08.2025 Malmö - Copenhagen 0:0
    30.07.2025 Malmö - RFS 1:0
    26.07.2025 Brommapojkarna - Malmö 2:3
    22.07.2025 RFS - Malmö 1:4
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 3, 0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag1 : 5, 0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 1, 1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 2, 0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 5, 0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 5, 2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen1 : 2, 3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV2 : 3, 0 : 1

    Final
    1FerencvarosQarabag
    2Crvena zvezdaPafos
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz
    4CelticKairat Almaty
    5BaselFC Copenhagen
    6FenerbahceBenfica
    7RangersClub Brugge KV