Malmö vs Mjällby – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
03/05/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Allsvenskan - Round 6
  • Referee: Al-Hakim M. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAzteca Deportes
norwayNorwayVG+
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.291.36
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
58
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
52
Passes
83% (349/423)82% (332/403)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.291.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.241.63
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
81
Blocked shots
82
Shots inside the box
138
Shots outside the box
83
Hit the woodwork
30
Headed goals
02
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
4326
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free kicks
1612
Passes
83% (349/423)82% (332/403)
Long passes
38% (23/61)42% (19/45)
Passes in final third
71% (104/147)69% (67/97)
Crosses
28% (5/18)64% (7/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.081.45
Throw ins
2920
Fouls
1216
Tackles
75% (6/8)46% (6/13)
Duels won
3640
Clearances
1532
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
53
xGOT faced
1.631.24
Goals prevented
-1.37-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Bergstrom J. , Granath V. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 49', 0 - 2, Stroud E. , Manneh A. (A),
  • 54', Botheim E. , Gudjohnsen D. T. ,
  • 55', Skogmar A. , Ali T. ,
  • 57', 1 - 2, Ali T. , Haksabanovic S. (A),
  • 64', Gustafson V. , Kjaer J. ,
  • 64', Granath V. , Nielsen M. ,
  • 70', 1 - 3, Bergstrom J. , Kjaer J. (A),
  • 71', Lundbergh T. , Busanello ,
  • 71', Karabelyov Y. , Busuladzic K. ,
  • 73', Iqbal A. 🟨,
  • 82', 2 - 3, Haksabanovic S. , Ali T. (A),
  • 85', Thorell L. , Arrhenius R. ,
  • 85', Rosengren O. , Milosavljevic J. ,
  • 85', Iqbal A. , Pettersson T. ,
  • 89', Manneh A. , Tidstrand L. ,

Chances of winning


Malmö
38.6%
Draw
27.7%
Mjällby
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 28.3% 31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 27.4% 30.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Mjällby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Malmö - Mjällby Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.31)
    3.37
    (3.3)
    2.81
    (2.97)
    6.5%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Malmö - Mjällby?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Mjällby will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 4%71%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 1.
    • Malmö is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Mjällby has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Malmö might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Malmö: Ekong E. (Inactive) Jansson P. (Injury) Kurtulus B. (Injury) Lajqi G. (Knee Injury) Olsen R. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Malmö won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Malmö - Mjällby were as follows:
    14.03.2026 Mjällby - Malmö 4:0
    09.08.2025 Malmö - Mjällby 1:3
    30.06.2025 Mjällby - Malmö 1:1
    29.09.2024 Malmö - Mjällby 2:0
    13.07.2024 Mjällby - Malmö 2:1
    Latest results of Malmö
    27.04.2026 AIK - Malmö 0:1
    23.04.2026 Malmö - Sirius 2:3
    17.04.2026 Djurgården - Malmö 0:1
    12.04.2026 Malmö - GAIS 3:1
    05.04.2026 Örgryte - Malmö 1:1
    Latest results of Mjällby
    27.04.2026 Mjällby - Halmstad 2:0
    23.04.2026 GAIS - Mjällby 0:0
    18.04.2026 Mjällby - Brommapojkarna 3:0
    11.04.2026 Mjällby - Örgryte 0:2
    04.04.2026 Hammarby - Mjällby 3:0
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sirius651017:71016
    2Hammarby632116:51111
    3Elfsborg63219:6311
    4Hacken624012:9310
    5Malmo FF631210:8210
    6Mjallby63128:7110
    7Degerfors62227:708
    8AIK62227:708
    9Vasteras SK62229:13-48
    10Djurgarden52126:607
    11GAIS61238:805
    12Brommapojkarna51227:10-35
    13Orgryte61236:16-105
    14Kalmar61147:10-34
    15Goteborg50324:8-43
    16Halmstad50233:9-62

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