Ferencvárosi vs Ludogorets Razgrad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Ferencvárosi - Ludogorets Razgrad
Result
3:0
12/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3
hungaryHungaryM4 Sport
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel, Sport 3

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.540.78
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
74% (205/277)77% (310/401)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.540.78
xG on target (xGOT)
2.090.18
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2515
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
74% (205/277)77% (310/401)
Long passes
46% (28/61)51% (37/73)
Passes in final third
64% (74/115)61% (66/108)
Crosses
42% (5/12)47% (8/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.340.81
Throw-ins
1311
Fouls
1514
Tackles
61% (11/18)75% (15/20)
Duels won
5165
Clearances
1618
Interceptions
54
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.182.09
Goals prevented
0.18-0.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 38', 1 - 0, Varga B. , Otvos B. (A),
  • 45', Kurtulus E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 61', Kaloc F. 🟨,
  • 61', Otvos B. 🟨,
  • 64', Erick Marcus , Chouiar M. ,
  • 64', Kaloc F. , Stanic P. ,
  • 69', Chouiar M. 🟨,
  • 75', Joseph L. , Gruber Z. ,
  • 76', Mota R. 🟨,
  • 79', 2 - 0, Varga B. , Gruber Z. (A),
  • 80', Varga B. , Maiga H. ,
  • 82', Son , Ivanov S. ,
  • 82', Bile E. , Tekpetey B. ,
  • 85', Nedyalkov A. 🟨,
  • 86', 3 - 0, Szalai G. , Toth A. (A),
  • 88', Otvos B. , Levi J. ,
  • 88', Kanichowsky G. , Zachariassen K. ,
  • 90', Toth A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Maiga H. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ferencvárosi
60.5%
Draw
24.1%
Ludogorets Razgrad
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.7% 26.7% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 26.3% 20.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferencvárosi's performance.
  • Ludogorets Razgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ludogorets Razgrad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferencvárosi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Ferencvárosi - Ludogorets Razgrad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.82)
    3.93
    (3.59)
    6.14
    (4.66)
    4.7%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Ferencvárosi - Ludogorets Razgrad?
  • Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 28 - 65.1%). Ludogorets will win (votes: 5 - 11.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 23.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ferencvárosi: 50.9%79.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Ferencvárosi (votes: 2 - 25%). Ludogorets (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferencvárosi won 2.
    • Ferencvárosi is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ludogorets is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Ferencvárosi is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Ferencvárosi will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ferencvárosi won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ferencvárosi won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ferencvárosi - Ludogorets Razgrad were as follows:
    06.08.2025 Ludogorets Razgrad - Ferencvárosi 0:0
    Latest results of Ferencvárosi
    Latest results of Ludogorets Razgrad
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt11005:143
    2PSG11004:043
    3Club Brugge KV11004:133
    4Sporting CP11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:123
    6Bayern Munich11003:123
    7Arsenal11002:023
    8Inter11002:023
    9Manchester City11002:023
    10Qarabag11003:213
    11Liverpool11003:213
    12Barcelona11002:113
    13Real Madrid11002:113
    14Tottenham11001:013
    15Dortmund10104:401
    16Juventus10104:401
    17Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    18Bodo/Glimt10102:201
    19Slavia Prague10102:201
    20FC Copenhagen10102:201
    21Pafos10100:001
    22Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    23Atl. Madrid10012:3-10
    24Benfica10012:3-10
    25Marseille10011:2-10
    26Newcastle10011:2-10
    27Villarreal10010:1-10
    28Chelsea10011:3-20
    29PSV10011:3-20
    30Napoli10010:2-20
    31Ajax10010:2-20
    32Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    33Monaco10011:4-30
    34Kairat Almaty10011:4-30
    35Galatasaray10011:5-40
    36Atalanta10010:4-40

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