Ferencvárosi vs Ludogorets Razgrad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Ferencvárosi - Ludogorets Razgrad
Result
3:0
12/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3
hungaryHungaryM4 Sport
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel, Sport 3

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.540.78
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
74% (205/277)77% (310/401)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.540.78
xG on target (xGOT)
2.090.18
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2515
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
74% (205/277)77% (310/401)
Long passes
46% (28/61)51% (37/73)
Passes in final third
64% (74/115)61% (66/108)
Crosses
42% (5/12)47% (8/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.340.81
Throw-ins
1311
Fouls
1514
Tackles
61% (11/18)75% (15/20)
Duels won
5165
Clearances
1618
Interceptions
54
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.182.09
Goals prevented
0.18-0.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 38', 1 - 0, Varga B. , Otvos B. (A),
  • 45', Kurtulus E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 61', Kaloc F. 🟨,
  • 61', Otvos B. 🟨,
  • 64', Erick Marcus , Chouiar M. ,
  • 64', Kaloc F. , Stanic P. ,
  • 69', Chouiar M. 🟨,
  • 75', Joseph L. , Gruber Z. ,
  • 76', Mota R. 🟨,
  • 79', 2 - 0, Varga B. , Gruber Z. (A),
  • 80', Varga B. , Maiga H. ,
  • 82', Son , Ivanov S. ,
  • 82', Bile E. , Tekpetey B. ,
  • 85', Nedyalkov A. 🟨,
  • 86', 3 - 0, Szalai G. , Toth A. (A),
  • 88', Otvos B. , Levi J. ,
  • 88', Kanichowsky G. , Zachariassen K. ,
  • 90', Toth A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Maiga H. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ferencvárosi
60.5%
Draw
24.1%
Ludogorets Razgrad
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.7% 26.7% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 26.3% 20.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferencvárosi's performance.
  • Ludogorets Razgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ludogorets Razgrad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferencvárosi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Ferencvárosi - Ludogorets Razgrad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.82)
    3.93
    (3.59)
    6.14
    (4.66)
    4.7%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Ferencvárosi - Ludogorets Razgrad?
  • Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 28 - 65.1%). Ludogorets will win (votes: 5 - 11.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 23.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ferencvárosi: 50.9%79.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Ferencvárosi (votes: 2 - 25%). Ludogorets (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferencvárosi won 2.
    • Ferencvárosi is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ludogorets is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Ferencvárosi is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Ferencvárosi will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ferencvárosi won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ferencvárosi won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ferencvárosi - Ludogorets Razgrad were as follows:
    06.08.2025 Ludogorets Razgrad - Ferencvárosi 0:0
    Latest results of Ferencvárosi
    Latest results of Ludogorets Razgrad
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 3, 0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag1 : 5, 0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 1, 1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 2, 0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 5, 0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 5, 2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen1 : 2, 3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV2 : 3, 0 : 1

    Final
    1FerencvarosQarabag
    2Crvena zvezdaPafos
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz
    4CelticKairat Almaty
    5BaselFC Copenhagen
    6FenerbahceBenfica
    7RangersClub Brugge KV