Result
1:2
08/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Relegation Group - Round 2
- Referee: Vergetis C. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.87 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (327/399) | 81% (307/379) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (327/399) | 81% (307/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (18/46) | 48% (26/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (79/115) | 64% (75/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 5% (1/21) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.53 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 30% (3/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.06 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 34', 0 - 1, Aleksic K. ⚽, Bouchalakis A. (A),
- 45', Sourlis V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Olafsson D. ↓, Apostolakis K. ↑,
- 46', Garate L. ↓, Pasas G. ↑,
- 47', Sielis C. 🟨,
- 54', Macon Y. 🟨,
- 58', 0 - 2, Aleksic K. ⚽, Badji Y. (A),
- 60', Naor G. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
- 61', Sisto P. ↓, Kakuta G. ↑,
- 66', Mavrias Ch. 🟨,
- 66', Kojic L. 🟨,
- 74', Macon Y. ↓, Mourgos S. ↑,
- 80', Sagal A. 🟥,
- 82', Aleksic K. ↓, Lenny Lobato ↑,
- 84', 1 - 2, Kakuta G. ⚽, Tupta L. (A),
- 85', Farley Rosa ↓, Michalak K. ↑,
- 90+2', Apostolopoulos A. ↓, Manrique C. ↑,
- 90+3', Matan A. ↓, Satsias G. ↑,
- 90+4', Badji Y. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
Chances of winning
AEL Larissa
36% | Draw
31% | Panetolikos
33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEL Larissa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AEL Larissa's form might have worsened.Panetolikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Panetolikos's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (+12.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AEL Larissa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panetolikos than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Panetolikos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
AEL Larissa - Panetolikos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.62 ↑
(1.98) |
3.02 ↓
(3.15) |
2.87 ↓
(3.85) |
6.2%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for AEL Larissa - Panetolikos?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Larissa will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Panetolikos will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Larissa: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 1.
- Larissa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Panetolikos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Larissa has had a series of away games.
- Larissa might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:27. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Larissa won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has AEL Larissa won against Panetolikos?
AEL Larissa has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Panetolikos won against AEL Larissa?
Panetolikos has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEL Larissa - Panetolikos were as follows:
07.02.2026
AEL Larissa
-
Panetolikos
1:4
08.11.2025
Panetolikos
-
AEL Larissa
3:0
01.08.2025
AEL Larissa
-
Panetolikos
0:1
Latest results of AEL Larissa
Latest results of Panetolikos
Greek Super League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 9 | Atromitos | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 27:31 | -4 | 31 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27:40 | -13 | 30 |
| 11 | Kifisia | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 33:44 | -11 | 28 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 24:44 | -20 | 23 |
| 13 | Panserraikos | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18:56 | -38 | 21 |
| 14 | Asteras Tripolis | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 25:42 | -17 | 21 |
Relegation ~ Super League 2
