Result
1:1
02/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 41
- Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hungary | Match 4 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 1 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Singapore | mio Sports 1 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 3, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports UHD |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.44 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (297/413) | 62% (206/332) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 47 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (297/413) | 62% (206/332) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (25/72) | 37% (33/90) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (133/200) | 53% (49/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (9/40) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.67 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Nichols T. 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 0, Knight B. ⚽, Gibbons J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Wright W. ↓, McGregor J. ↑,
- 59', Nichols T. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
- 59', Kilkenny G. ↓, Borland A. ↑,
- 74', Palmer O. ↓, Scanlon J. ↑,
- 74', Holman F. ↓, Olakigbe M. ↑,
- 81', Appere L. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
- 81', Knight B. ↓, Kaikai S. ↑,
- 83', Borland A. 🟨,
- 88', Brophy J. ↓, Hoddle G. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 1, Gibbons J. (Own goal),
- 90+3', Mpanzu P. ↓, Nevitt E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cambridge United
53.5% | Draw
26.9% | Swindon Town
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cambridge United's performance.Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Swindon Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swindon Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cambridge United - Swindon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(1.92) |
3.48 ↓
(3.5) |
4.72 ↑
(3.7) |
6.6%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cambridge United - Swindon Town?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Swindon will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cambridge: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Cambridge is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Cambridge: Bradshaw Z.
(Injury)
Hoddle G.
(Knee Injury)
Kouassi K.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Clarke O.
(Inactive)
Glatzel P.
(Hamstring Injury)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
Snowdon J.
(Injury)
Wilson-Brown T.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cambridge won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cambridge United won against Swindon Town?
Cambridge United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Cambridge United?
Swindon Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cambridge United - Swindon Town were as follows:
09.08.2025
Swindon Town
-
Cambridge United
3:2
Latest results of Cambridge United
Latest results of Swindon Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
