Tranmere Rovers vs Swindon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 39
  • Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.141.45
Ball possession
33%67%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
76
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
59
Passes
58% (148/256)78% (415/529)
Yellow cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.141.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.461.37
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
15
Blocked shots
42
Shots inside the box
68
Shots outside the box
65
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
59
Touches in opposition box
2329
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1011
Passes
58% (148/256)78% (415/529)
Long passes
30% (23/76)37% (26/71)
Passes in final third
51% (65/128)68% (112/164)
Crosses
33% (6/18)12% (4/33)
Expected assists (xA)
1.441.26
Throw ins
2920
Fouls
1110
Tackles
60% (9/15)50% (6/12)
Duels won
6852
Clearances
4636
Interceptions
70
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
56
xGOT faced
1.371.46
Goals prevented
0.371.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 63', McGowan A. , Norman C. ,
  • 63', Whitaker C. , Bristow E. ,
  • 67', Kilkenny G. , Hoilett J. ,
  • 67', Bodin B. , Palmer O. ,
  • 69', Solomon S. 🟨,
  • 75', Batty J. , Olakigbe M. ,
  • 84', Blacker B. , Obiero Z. ,
  • 85', Solomon S. , Woolery K. ,
  • 89', Tafazolli R. , McGregor J. ,
  • 90', Ironside J. , Patrick O. ,
  • 90+1', 0 - 1, Hoilett J. , Olakigbe M. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tranmere Rovers
26.2%
Draw
27.4%
Swindon Town
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.6% 26.5% 46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3% 24.9% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Tranmere Rovers - Swindon Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.57
    (3.43)
    3.42
    (3.45)
    2.02
    (1.95)
    6.8%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 1.
    • Tranmere is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Swindon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Swindon is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Tranmere: Jennings C. (Inactive) McGee L. (Hip Injury) Murphy J. (Inactive) O'Connor L. (Inactive) Tamen W. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D. (Inactive) Clarke O. (Inactive) Glatzel P. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury) Olakigbe M. (Inactive) Smith H. (Knee Injury) Snowdon J. (Injury) Wilson-Brown T. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Tranmere: Dennis K. (Inactive) Joseph J. (Inactive) Turnbull J. (Inactive) Williams J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Swindon: Ball J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:27. (average 1.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tranmere won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tranmere Rovers - Swindon Town were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers 2:1
    28.01.2025 Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers 3:1
    01.10.2024 Tranmere Rovers - Swindon Town 1:1
    27.02.2024 Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers 3:1
    23.12.2023 Tranmere Rovers - Swindon Town 2:1
    Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    English League Two Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley ✔ 462415771:462587
    2MK Dons ✔ 462414886:454186
    3Cambridge Utd462216866:333382
    4Salford462561561:511081
    5Notts Co462481474:522280
    6Chesterfield462116971:561579
    7Grimsby4622121274:502478
    8Barnet4621131270:531776
    9Swindon462291570:591175
    10Oldham4618141460:441668
    11Crewe4619101764:58667
    12Colchester4618121662:491366
    13Walsall4618111756:56065
    14Bristol Rovers461952256:65-962
    15Fleetwood4615161557:58-161
    16Accrington4614112147:58-1153
    17Gillingham4613141953:72-1953
    18Cheltenham4614102253:79-2652
    19Shrewsbury4613102342:69-2749
    20Newport461272748:77-2943
    21Tranmere4610112554:79-2541
    22Crawley468162244:68-2440
    23Harrogate461092739:68-2939
    24Barrow46992845:78-3336

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bromley is Qualified for League One
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One