Result
1:2
24/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 9
- Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football |
 Albania | SuperSport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 4 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Variety 4 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Suriname | SCCN |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (487/549) | 76% (206/270) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (487/549) | 76% (206/270) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (21/51) | 38% (21/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (137/176) | 53% (32/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (4/32) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.66 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, El Arabi Y. ⚽, Leroux L. (A),
- 15', 1 - 1, Chergui S. ⚽, Lees-Melou P. (A),
- 24', Mwanga J. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 2, Abline M. ⚽,
- 45+1', Traore H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Traore H. ↓, Otavio ↑,
- 61', Marchetti V. ↓, Ikone J. ↑,
- 64', Lopez M. 🟨,
- 64', Kwon Hyeok-Kyu 🟨,
- 69', De Smet T. 🟨,
- 70', Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ↓, Deuff B. ↑,
- 70', El Arabi Y. ↓, Mostafa Mohamed ↑,
- 73', Krasso J. ↓, Geubbels W. ↑,
- 76', Tabibou D. ↓, Cozza N. ↑,
- 85', Kebbal I. ↓, Gory A. ↑,
- 85', Simon M. ↓, Dicko N. ↑,
- 89', Guirassy B. ↓, Centonze F. ↑,
- 90+1', Castro L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paris FC
46% | Draw
28.7% | Nantes
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paris FC's form might have worsened.Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nantes's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+12.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paris FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nantes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Paris FC - Nantes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↑
(1.65) |
3.89 ↓
(4.02) |
4.36 ↓
(4.97) |
-13.9%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paris FC - Nantes?
Users Predictions:
54 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 41 - 75.9%). Nantes will win (votes: 4 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 64.5% – 87.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Nantes (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 15).
- Paris FC has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Nantes's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Paris FC is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Nantes: Coquelin F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lahdo M.
(Inactive)
Lepenant J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Paris FC: Cafaro M.
(Muscle Injury)
De Smet T.
(Thigh Injury)
Hamel P.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lopez J.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:10. (average 1.5:5).
How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Nantes?
Paris FC has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Paris FC?
Nantes has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paris FC - Nantes were as follows:
09.08.2025
Nantes
-
Paris FC
2:3
Latest results of Paris FC
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:8 | 11 | 20 |
| 2 | Lens | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Marseille | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 22:9 | 13 | 18 |
| 4 | Monaco | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:13 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Lyon | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Nantes | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Lorient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Metz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:20 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
