Result
3:2
09/04/2026 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', Castillo H. 🟨,
- 19', Tatum Ferrera A. K. 🟨,
- 35', Canales C. ↓, Quejada J. ↑,
- 45+5', 0 - 1, Flores F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Rocha D. ↓, Fernandez C. ↑,
- 46', Cordova J. ↓, Suazo J. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 1, Chavez Y. ⚽,
- 58', Palacios D. 🟨,
- 58', Osorto R. 🟨,
- 59', Arana M. ↓, Arzu E. ↑,
- 60', Quejada J. 🟨,
- 65', Palacios D. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
- 65', Hernandez E. 🟨,
- 69', Osorto R. 🟥,
- 74', 1 - 2, Hernandez E. ⚽,
- 77', Bermudez J. ↓, Anaya L. ↑,
- 78', Tatum Ferrera A. K. 🟨,
- 81', Sayago D. ↓, Capeluto J. ↑,
- 82', Vuelto D. ↓, Pike C. ↑,
- 82', Franco J. ↓, Florez E. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 2, Aceituno M. ⚽,
- 90', Mejia C. 🟨,
- 90+1', 3 - 2, Barrios B. ⚽,
- 90+6', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Choloma
17.6% | Draw
23.3% | Real España
59% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Choloma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Choloma's form might have worsened.Real España has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real España's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Choloma than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Choloma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real España than the current prediction. (-10.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real España, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Choloma - Real España Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.14 ↑
(3.49) |
3.89 ↑
(3.46) |
1.54 ↓
(1.9) |
10.3%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Choloma - Real España?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Choloma will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Real España will win (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Real España may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Real España is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Choloma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Choloma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Choloma won against Real España?
Choloma has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real España won against Choloma?
Real España has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Choloma - Real España were as follows:
14.02.2026
Real España
-
Choloma
2:1
18.10.2025
Real España
-
Choloma
3:0
09.08.2025
Choloma
-
Real España
0:3
Latest results of Choloma
Latest results of Real España
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29:21 | 8 | 30 |
| 2 | Motagua | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 25:10 | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Olancho | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 27 |
| 4 | Olimpia | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23:12 | 11 | 26 |
| 5 | Marathon | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21:16 | 5 | 24 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 17 |
| 7 | Choloma | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:22 | -7 | 17 |
| 8 | Genesis | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 16 |
| 9 | Platense | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20:21 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Juticalpa | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14:36 | -22 | 14 |
| 11 | Victoria | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
