CD Marathón vs Real España – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


CD Marathón
47.8%
Draw
26.5%
Real España
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 27.2% 26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 27.3% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CD Marathón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Real España has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real España than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • CD Marathón - Real España Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.97)
    3.4
    (3.34)
    3.5
    (3.41)
    11.1%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Real España is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 1.
    • Marathón has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Real España is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Marathón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Marathón could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marathón won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 0.9:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between CD Marathón - Real España were as follows:
    02.04.2026 Real España - CD Marathón 2:0
    08.02.2026 CD Marathón - Real España 0:1
    15.10.2025 CD Marathón - Real España 0:0
    03.08.2025 Real España - CD Marathón 1:0
    06.04.2025 CD Marathón - Real España 1:0
    Latest results of CD Marathón
    30.04.2026 CD Marathón - Choloma 0:1
    18.04.2026 Génesis PN - CD Marathón 0:1
    12.04.2026 CD Marathón - Olancho 0:2
    09.04.2026 CD Marathón - Motagua 1:0
    Latest results of Real España
    Honduras Liga Nacional Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Espana ✔ 20117237:251240
    2Motagua ✔ 20116336:171939
    3Olimpia ✔ 20115435:171838
    4Olancho2088428:161232
    5Marathon2076723:19427
    6Genesis2065920:28-823
    7Choloma2065923:32-923
    8Platense2056926:29-321
    9UPNFM2056923:30-721
    10Juticalpa20461018:41-2318
    11Victoria20441225:40-1516

          Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Real Espana is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
    Motagua is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
    Olimpia is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )