Result
1:1
10/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 11
- Referee: Ortiz Leon J. C. (Mex)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', Del Aguila Y. 🟨,
- 10', Lopez E. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 1, Garcia G. ⚽, Alvarez D. (A),
- 38', 1 - 1, Meza S. ⚽, Mascorro H. (A),
- 39', Del Aguila Y. ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
- 43', Justo A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Millan O. ↓, Jaimes U. ↑,
- 64', Bass A. ↓, Gutierrez L. ↑,
- 67', Cruz J. ↓, Bustos J. ↑,
- 72', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
- 72', Alvarez D. ↓, Galindo A. ↑,
- 79', Meza S. ↓, Pineda D. ↑,
- 82', Garcia G. 🟨,
- 84', Arellano A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Carballo E. ↓, Andrey Marcos ↑,
Chances of winning
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
38.6% | Draw
24.2% | Atlético La Paz
37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Atlético La Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético La Paz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↓
(2.61) |
3.83 ↑
(3.72) |
2.49 ↑
(2.41) |
7.9%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético La Paz?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Alebrijes de Oaxaca will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Atlético La Paz will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Atlético La Paz (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Atlético La Paz (1.82) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético La Paz (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 0.
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Atlético La Paz is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.4:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Alebrijes de Oaxaca won against Atlético La Paz?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético La Paz won against Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Atlético La Paz has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético La Paz were as follows:
04.04.2025
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Atlético La Paz
2:2
18.10.2024
Atlético La Paz
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2:1
20.04.2024
Atlético La Paz
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3:2
22.03.2024
Atlético La Paz
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2:1
19.09.2023
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Atlético La Paz
2:2
Latest results of Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Latest results of Atlético La Paz
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Morelia | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Tapatio | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Tlaxcala | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Cancun | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Atlante | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Venados | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Zacatecas Mineros | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Leones Negros | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 | Jaiba Brava | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
