General San Martín de Formosa vs Independiente Chivilcoy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
10/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 4

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
127
Corner Kicks
62
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
127
Shots off target
86
Corner Kicks
62
Goalkeeper Saves
69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Chiquichano O. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 57', 1 - 1, Aquino A. ,
  • 64', 2 - 1, Bobadilla M. ,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Peralta B. ,
  • 87', 🟨,

Chances of winning


General San Martín de Formosa
51.9%
Draw
29%
Independiente Chivilcoy
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 28.2% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 27.2% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • General San Martín de Formosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Independiente Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Chivilcoy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • General San Martín de Formosa - Independiente Chivilcoy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.93)
    3.17
    (3.2)
    4.81
    (3.64)
    8.9%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for General San Martín de Formosa - Independiente Chivilcoy?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. San Martín Formosa will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ind Chivilcoy will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. San Martín Formosa (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ind Chivilcoy (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • San Martín Formosa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, San Martín Formosa is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig44009:4512
    2Independiente Chivilcoy43018:449
    3Defensores Belgrano VR42118:627
    49 de Julio Rafaela42118:717
    5Sportivo Belgrano41304:136
    6El Linqueno42024:5-16
    7Chivilcoy41122:5-34
    8Sportivo Las Parejas40222:4-22
    9Gimnasia E.R40132:6-41
    10Atletico Escobar40134:9-51


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventud Antoniana32105:237
    2Defensores de Vilelas32016:426
    3Tucuman Central32013:126
    4Bartolome Mitre41211:105
    5Sol de America31112:204
    6Boca Unidos41126:7-14
    7San Martin Formosa31113:4-14
    8Sarmiento Resistencia30212:4-22
    9Sarmiento de La Banda40222:5-32


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Costa Brava41305:236
    2Juventud U.U41303:126
    3Deportivo Rincon31204:225
    4Cipolletti41216:515
    5Biblioteca Atenas31113:214
    6San Martin Mendoza31111:3-24
    7Huracan Las Heras40311:3-23
    8Argentino MM40310:2-23
    9Fundacion Amigos30212:5-32


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca33005:059
    2Kimberley41301:016
    3Santamarina41216:425
    4Sol de Mayo41213:215
    5Germinal41213:305
    6Alvarado41212:205
    7Villa Mitre31022:203
    8Circulo Deportivo31022:7-53
    9Guillermo Brown30122:6-41

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