Sturm Graz vs Bodø Glimt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Football UEFA Champions League Sturm Graz - Bodø Glimt
Result
2:1
26/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
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asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
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brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, Space, Space, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
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new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
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peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandCANAL+ 360
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Prime 2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTRT 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+, TUDN App, TUDN
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldDaystar Pacific

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.441.11
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
38
Passes
86% (379/439)83% (345/415)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.441.11
xG on target (xGOT)
1.011.09
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
1725
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
86% (379/439)83% (345/415)
Long passes
55% (21/38)51% (24/47)
Passes in final third
75% (85/113)65% (68/104)
Crosses
25% (4/16)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.601.10
Throw-ins
2124
Fouls
1213
Tackles
56% (14/25)73% (8/11)
Duels won
4943
Clearances
2623
Interceptions
416
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
1.091.01
Goals prevented
0.09-0.99

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Jorgensen M. ⚽, Hauge J. (A),
  • 30', 1 - 1, Jatta S. ⚽,
  • 44', Lavalee D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Hauge J. ↓, Bassi D. ↑,
  • 58', Kiteishvili O. ↓, Rozga F. ↑,
  • 59', Jatta S. ↓, Grgic L. ↑,
  • 62', Malic A. ↓, Oermann T. ↑,
  • 63', Nielsen V. 🟨,
  • 69', Saltnes U. ↓, Klynge A. ↑,
  • 69', Jorgensen M. ↓, Riisnaes M. ↑,
  • 73', 2 - 1, Oermann T. ⚽, Grgic L. (A),
  • 77', Boving W. ↓, Beck J. ↑,
  • 77', Horvat T. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
  • 77', Oermann T. 🟨,
  • 87', Evjen H. ↓, Auklend S. ↑,
  • 90+3', Sjovold F. ↓, Bro Hansen M. ↑,

Chances of winning


Sturm Graz
38.8%		Draw
26%		Bodø Glimt
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 28.3% 42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5% 27.9% 43.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sturm Graz's performance.
  • Bodø Glimt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bodø Glimt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sturm Graz that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodø Glimt than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bodø Glimt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Sturm Graz - Bodø Glimt Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.53 ↓
    (3.33)    		 3.7 ↑
    (3.4)    		 2.67 ↑
    (2.24)    		 4%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - Bodø Glimt?
  • Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 31 - 53.4%). Bodø Glimt will win (votes: 18 - 31%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 15.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sturm: 40.6% – 66.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sturm Graz will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-5. 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium.
    • Sturm has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bodø Glimt is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Knee Injury) Kayombo A. (Ankle Injury) Khudyakov D. (Wrist Injury)
    • There will not play in Bodø Glimt: Blomberg O. (Thigh Injury) Gundersen J. (Thigh Injury) Moe B. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bodø Glimt: Aleesami H. (Injury) Maatta I. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sturm won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sturm Graz - Bodø Glimt were as follows:
    20.08.2025 Bodø Glimt - Sturm Graz 5:0
    Latest results of Sturm Graz
    23.08.2025 Sturm Graz - Swarovski Tirol Postponed
    20.08.2025 Bodø Glimt - Sturm Graz 5:0 ✺
    16.08.2025 Ried - Sturm Graz 1:3 ✺
    10.08.2025 Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien 1:2 ✺
    06.08.2025 Sturm Graz - Strasbourg 2:3 ✺
    Latest results of Bodø Glimt
    20.08.2025 Bodø Glimt - Sturm Graz 5:0 ✺
    15.08.2025 Strømsgodset - Bodø Glimt 0:5 ✺
    09.08.2025 Bodø Glimt - Tromsø 1:1 ✺
    03.08.2025 Hamarkameratene - Bodø Glimt 1:3 ✺
    30.07.2025 Bodø Glimt - Strømsgodset 1:0 ✺
    Draw
    Qualification

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 3, 0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag1 : 5, 0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 1, 1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 2, 0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 5, 0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 5, 2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen1 : 2, 3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV2 : 3, 0 : 1

    Final
    1FerencvarosQarabag3 : 2, 1 : 3
    2Crvena zvezdaPafos1 : 1, 1 : 2
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4CelticKairat Almaty0 : 1, 0 : 0
    5BaselFC Copenhagen0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6FenerbahceBenfica0 : 1, 0 : 0
    7RangersClub Brugge KV0 : 6, 1 : 3
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