Result
1:1
22/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Championship Group - Round 28
- Referee: Talic A. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 Ukraine | Maincast |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.82 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (397/468) | 65% (118/182) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (397/468) | 65% (118/182) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (19/42) | 35% (17/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (131/175) | 52% (31/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (9/36) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.36 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Alemao 🟨,
- 18', Alemao 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Kalajdzic S. ↓, Mbuyamba X. ↑,
- 46', Malic A. ↓, Gazibegovic J. ↑,
- 52', 0 - 1, Usor M. ⚽, Horvath S. (A),
- 56', Jatta S. 🟨,
- 58', Adeniran S. 🟨,
- 66', Aiwu E. ↓, Mamageishvili G. ↑,
- 67', Adeniran S. 🟨,
- 67', Vallci A. 🟨,
- 69', Cisse M. 🟨,
- 72', Usor M. ↓, Bello G. ↑,
- 77', Mitchell J. 🟨,
- 77', 1 - 1, Kiteishvili O. (Penalty Awarded),
- 85', Jatta S. ↓, Wilson R. ↑,
- 88', Coulibaly I. ↓, Kacavenda L. ↑,
- 90+4', Horvath S. ↓, Cheikne K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sturm Graz
29% | Draw
26.7% | LASK Linz
44.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sturm Graz's form might have worsened.LASK Linz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting LASK Linz's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+14.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sturm Graz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for LASK Linz than the current prediction. (-14.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for LASK Linz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sturm Graz - LASK Linz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.23 ↑
(2.18) |
3.53 ↑
(3.45) |
2.12 ↓
(2.95) |
6.4%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - LASK Linz?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 3 - 30%). LASK will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LASK: 9.6% – 70.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. LASK (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 3.
- Sturm has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- LASK is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Sturm: Beganovic B.
(Ankle Injury)
Grgic L.
(Knee Injury)
Hodl J.
(Yellow Cards)
Lavalee D.
(Knee Injury)
Rozga F.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in LASK: Danek K.
(Muscle Injury)
Smakaj A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sturm: Mitchell J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sturm won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against LASK Linz?
Sturm Graz has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has LASK Linz won against Sturm Graz?
LASK Linz has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sturm Graz - LASK Linz were as follows:
19.04.2026
LASK Linz
-
Sturm Graz
1:1
23.11.2025
Sturm Graz
-
LASK Linz
1:3
01.08.2025
LASK Linz
-
Sturm Graz
0:2
27.10.2024
LASK Linz
-
Sturm Graz
1:2
12.05.2024
LASK Linz
-
Sturm Graz
2:2
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Latest results of LASK Linz
Austrian Bundesliga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LASK | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 48:40 | 8 | 30 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 44:32 | 12 | 30 |
| 3 | Salzburg | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 28 |
| 4 | SK Rapid | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 35:34 | 1 | 27 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 42:47 | -5 | 23 |
| 6 | Hartberg | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
