Result
3:2
07/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 21
- Referee: Terzic A. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.04 | 1.64 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (187/265) | 82% (396/481) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.04 | 1.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.36 | 1.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (187/265) | 82% (396/481) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (23/57) | 51% (30/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (69/100) | 64% (95/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (9/28) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.76 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.42 | 4.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | 1.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Rozic V. 🟨,
- 11', Pavicic K. ↓, Jurilj A. ↑,
- 15', Kolic F. 🟨,
- 15', Puljic J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 15', 1 - 0, Puljic J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Sepic N. ↓, Kadusic A. ↑,
- 47', 2 - 0, Tadic M. ⚽, Ticinovic M. (A),
- 56', 2 - 1, Maresic D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 61', Nasraoui M. ↓, Heister M. ↑,
- 61', Ayuma I. ↓, Agada C. ↑,
- 64', Kumar R. 🟨,
- 67', Caic V. ↓, Gurlica J. ↑,
- 75', Rozic V. ↓, Skafar Zuzic N. ↑,
- 82', Kumar R. ↓, Miettinen S. ↑,
- 82', Kulusic L. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 2, Prevljak S. ⚽, Loncar S. (A),
- 87', 3 - 2, Banovec L. ⚽,
- 90+5', Ticinovic M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Maresic D. 🟨,
- 90+6', Banovec L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vukovar 91
30.6% | Draw
28.3% | Istra 1961
41.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vukovar 91 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Istra 1961 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vukovar 91 than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Vukovar 91 - Istra 1961 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↑
(2.94) |
3.28 ↓
(3.42) |
2.27 ↑
(2.18) |
7.3%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Vukovar 91 - Istra 1961?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Vukovar 91 will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Istra 1961 will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Vukovar 91 (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Istra 1961 (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vukovar 91 (votes: 1 - 50%). Istra 1961 (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion HNK Cibalia.
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Recent form of Vukovar 91 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Istra 1961 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Vukovar 91 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Vukovar 91: Biljan J.
(Inactive)
Djakovic A.
(Injury)
Spoljaric J.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Istra 1961: Mauric A.
(Inactive)
Robertsson L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vukovar 91 won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Vukovar 91 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Vukovar 91 won against Istra 1961?
Vukovar 91 has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Vukovar 91?
Istra 1961 has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vukovar 91 - Istra 1961 were as follows:
01.11.2025
Istra 1961
-
Vukovar 91
1:1
15.08.2025
Vukovar 91
-
Istra 1961
1:1
Latest results of Vukovar 91
Latest results of Istra 1961
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 63:22 | 41 | 60 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 39:25 | 14 | 50 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 37:27 | 10 | 38 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 37 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 35 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:40 | -9 | 30 |
| 8 | Gorica | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 28 |
| 9 | Osijek | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 22:36 | -14 | 24 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26:46 | -20 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
