Result
1:1
15/08/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 3
- Referee: Vukancic I. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (342/398) | 86% (402/468) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (342/398) | 86% (402/468) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (22/44) | 48% (25/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (51/75) | 65% (75/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (9/25) | 10% (2/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', Heister M. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Loncar S. ⚽,
- 41', 1 - 1, Banovec L. ⚽, Tabinas P. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Simmonds K. ↓, Knoll T. ↑,
- 58', Ayuma I. ↓, Mauric A. ↑,
- 58', Heister M. ↓, Jay A. ↑,
- 65', Tabinas P. ↓, Ticinovic M. ↑,
- 68', Camacho R. ↓, Mejia Moscoso D. M. ↑,
- 72', Bangura S. ↓, Frederiksen E. ↑,
- 76', Mejia Moscoso D. M. 🟨,
- 85', Rozic V. ↓, Djuric D. ↑,
- 85', Lawal S. ↓, Agada C. A. ↑,
- 90', Gonzalez R. ↓, Leoni ↑,
Chances of winning
Vukovar 91
25.4% | Draw
29.4% | Istra 1961
45.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vukovar 91 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Istra 1961 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vukovar 91 than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Vukovar 91 - Istra 1961 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.72 ↓
(3.8) |
3.19 ↓
(3.35) |
2.07 ↑
(1.94) |
6.7%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vukovar 91 - Istra 1961?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Vukovar 91 will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Istra 1961 will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Istra 1961: 46.1% – 91.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Istra 1961 will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Vukovar 91 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Istra 1961 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Vukovar 91 has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Istra 1961 has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Istra 1961 is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Vukovar 91: Djakovic A.
(Inactive)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Vukovar 91 won against Istra 1961?
Vukovar 91 has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Vukovar 91?
Istra 1961 has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vukovar 91 - Istra 1961 were as follows:
Latest results of Vukovar 91
Latest results of Istra 1961
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Lok. Zagreb | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | Gorica | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 5 | Rijeka | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Slaven Belupo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 7 | Varazdin | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 8 | Osijek | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 9 | Istra 1961 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
