Mafra vs Lusitano GC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
30/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
37
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
118
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
64
Corner Kicks
37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', 🟨,
  • 37', Aguas M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 59', Moreira R. , Goncalves V. ,
  • 59', Neves L. , Iheanacho S. ,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Iheanacho S. ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Almara F. , Pinto J. (A),
  • 72', Baptista T. , Gomes A. ,
  • 73', Pinto J. 🟨,
  • 76', Pinto R. , Andrey ,
  • 78', Lopes D. , Isnaba G. ,
  • 81', Almara F. 🟨,
  • 88', Lima T. , Monteiro R. ,
  • 88', Almara F. , Sonhi Y. ,

Chances of winning


Mafra
39.8%
Draw
29.7%
Lusitano GC
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 29.9% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5% 29.4% 24.9%

Mafra - Lusitano GC Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.33
(2.04)
3.13
(3.05)
3.04
(3.61)
7.7%
(9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mafra - Lusitano GC?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mafra (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
    • Mafra is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Lusitano GC has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Lusitano GC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Mafra will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mafra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mafra - Lusitano GC were as follows:
    17.08.2025 Lusitano GC - Mafra 4:1
    Latest results of Mafra
    09.11.2025 Belenenses - Mafra 2:1
    02.11.2025 Mafra - Atlético CP 1:0
    11.10.2025 Mafra - Amora 2:0
    05.10.2025 Mafra - 1 Dezembro 3:1
    Latest results of Lusitano GC
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trofense1466218:10824
    2Amarante1463516:16021
    3Vitoria Guimaraes B1455414:12220
    4Braga B1455412:13-120
    5Varzim1447319:14519
    6AD Fafe1445516:18-217
    7Paredes1438314:11317
    8AD Marco 091437412:14-216
    9Sao Joao Ver1427510:19-913
    10Sanjoanense1427516:20-413


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Os Belenenses1492320:12829
    2Mafra1475221:15626
    3Academica1456322:15721
    4Atletico CP1462613:10320
    5Caldas1453613:16-318
    6Amora1445515:16-117
    7Santarem1445511:12-117
    81u00ba Dezembro1436511:17-615
    9Lusitano GC1442814:16-214
    10Covilha142668:19-1112

          Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
          Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )