Result
1:0
18/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Lopes D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Aguas M. ↓, Pereira F. ↑,
- 59', Tipote L. ↓, Almara F. ↑,
- 64', Niang C. 🟨,
- 66', Gomes Silva E. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
- 66', Barbosa A. ↓, Costa Branco Novais Oliveira T. ↑,
- 66', Silva J. ↓, Matos S. ↑,
- 73', Ferreira R. ↓, Mica ↑,
- 77', Baptista T. ↓, Andrade M. ↑,
- 81', Silva M. ↓, Pimenta T. ↑,
- 90+1', Davou S. ↓, Soares M. ↑,
- 90+1', Lopes D. ↓, Isnaba G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lusitano GC
56.5% | Draw
26.3% | Covilhã
17.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lusitano GC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Lusitano GC - Covilhã Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.68) |
3.51 ↑
(3.38) |
5.33 ↑
(4.97) |
8.6%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lusitano GC - Covilhã?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Covilhã (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Lusitano GC is a strong favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lusitano GC won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lusitano GC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lusitano GC won against Covilhã?
Lusitano GC has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Covilhã won against Lusitano GC?
Covilhã has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lusitano GC - Covilhã were as follows:
14.03.2026
Covilhã
-
Lusitano GC
1:3
04.01.2026
Lusitano GC
-
Covilhã
2:1
22.11.2025
Covilhã
-
Lusitano GC
0:2
28.09.2025
Covilhã
-
Lusitano GC
1:1
24.09.2023
Lusitano GC
-
Covilhã
0:1
Latest results of Lusitano GC
Latest results of Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amarante | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18:10 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Academica | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:14 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 | Mafra | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 13 |
| 6 | Varzim | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 10:14 | -4 | 13 |
| 7 | Santarem | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 9 |
| 8 | Trofense | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6:12 | -6 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
