Result
1:0
21/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CONCACAF Central American Cup - Play-in - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Tubi TV |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (169/259) | 80% (293/368) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (169/259) | 80% (293/368) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (30/71) | 40% (23/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (44/95) | 77% (95/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.98 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Cardozo Coitinho S. 🟨,
- 41', Vega L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', Alfaro B. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
- 62', Montero C. ↓, Nunez C. ↑,
- 67', Mejia C. ↓, Macias J. ↑,
- 68', Melendez C. ↓, Crisanto L. ↑,
- 68', Batiz J. ↓, Zuniga S. ↑,
- 73', Melendez D. ↓, Melendez L. ↑,
- 78', Zapata R. ↓, Portillo J. ↑,
- 86', 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cartagines
41% | Draw
31.8% | Motagua
27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cartagines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Motagua's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagines than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cartagines, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Motagua, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cartagines - Motagua Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.09) |
2.97 ↑
(2.62) |
3.45 ↓
(4.29) |
6.1%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- 1st leg.
- Recent form of Cartagines has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Motagua has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Motagua may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Cartagines is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cartagines won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Cartagines won against Motagua?
Cartagines has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motagua won against Cartagines?
Motagua has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cartagines - Motagua were as follows:
14.08.2025
Motagua
-
Cartagines
0:0
Latest results of Cartagines
Latest results of Motagua
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Miguelito (4) | Xelaju (5) | 2 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Plaza Amador (1) | Real Espana (8) | 1 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Olimpia (2) | Cartagines (7) | 3 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Motagua (3) | Alajuelense (6) | 1 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Xelaju (5) | Real Espana (8) | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Olimpia (2) | Alajuelense (6) | 1 : 1 |
Final
