Result
03/05/2026 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Triangulares - Round 1
Chances of winning
Génesis PN
22.1% | Draw
25.3% | Motagua
52.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Génesis PN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Motagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Génesis PN than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Motagua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Génesis PN - Motagua Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.1 ↓
(4.2) |
3.57 ↓
(3.8) |
1.72 ↑
(1.64) |
10.5%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Motagua is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Génesis won 1.
- Génesis is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Motagua has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Motagua may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Motagua is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Génesis won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 11:34. (average 0.8:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Génesis won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.6:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Génesis PN won against Motagua?
Génesis PN has won 1 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motagua won against Génesis PN?
Motagua has won 10 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Génesis PN - Motagua were as follows:
05.04.2026
Motagua
-
Génesis PN
3:1
11.02.2026
Génesis PN
-
Motagua
0:5
04.10.2025
Motagua
-
Génesis PN
4:3
26.07.2025
Génesis PN
-
Motagua
2:1
10.05.2025
Motagua
-
Génesis PN
5:1
Latest results of Génesis PN
Latest results of Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura - TriangularesGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marathon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Olimpia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Real Espana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Motagua | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Genesis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Olancho | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Final)
