Génesis PN vs Motagua – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2026 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Nacional - Clausura - Triangulares - Round 1

Chances of winning


Génesis PN
22.2%
Draw
25.7%
Motagua
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.4% 23.7% 54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5% 26% 60.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Génesis PN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Motagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Génesis PN than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Motagua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Génesis PN - Motagua Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.07
    (4.2)
    3.52
    (3.8)
    1.74
    (1.64)
    10.6%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Motagua is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Génesis won 1.
    • Génesis is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Motagua has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Motagua may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Motagua is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Génesis won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 11:34. (average 0.8:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Génesis won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.6:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Génesis PN - Motagua were as follows:
    05.04.2026 Motagua - Génesis PN 3:1
    11.02.2026 Génesis PN - Motagua 0:5
    04.10.2025 Motagua - Génesis PN 4:3
    26.07.2025 Génesis PN - Motagua 2:1
    10.05.2025 Motagua - Génesis PN 5:1
    Latest results of Génesis PN
    30.04.2026 Olancho - Génesis PN 2:2
    23.04.2026 Lobos UPNFM - Génesis PN 0:1
    18.04.2026 Génesis PN - CD Marathón 0:1
    08.04.2026 Platense - Génesis PN 0:1
    Latest results of Motagua
    30.04.2026 Lobos UPNFM - Motagua 2:1
    26.04.2026 Motagua - Choloma 5:1
    23.04.2026 Olancho - Motagua 0:0
    19.04.2026 Motagua - Juticalpa 2:1
    Honduras Liga Nacional Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Espana ✔ 20117237:251240
    2Motagua ✔ 20116336:171939
    3Olimpia ✔ 20115435:171838
    4Olancho2088428:161232
    5Marathon2076723:19427
    6Genesis2065920:28-823
    7Choloma2065923:32-923
    8Platense2056926:29-321
    9UPNFM2056923:30-721
    10Juticalpa20461018:41-2318
    11Victoria20441225:40-1516

          Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Real Espana is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
    Motagua is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
    Olimpia is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )