Result
03/05/2026 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Triangulares - Round 1
Chances of winning
Génesis PN
22.2% | Draw
25.7% | Motagua
52% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Génesis PN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Motagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Génesis PN than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Motagua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Génesis PN - Motagua Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.07 ↓
(4.2) |
3.52 ↓
(3.8) |
1.74 ↑
(1.64) |
10.6%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Motagua is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Génesis won 1.
- Génesis is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Motagua has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Motagua may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Motagua is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Génesis won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 11:34. (average 0.8:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Génesis won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.6:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Génesis PN won against Motagua?
Génesis PN has won 1 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motagua won against Génesis PN?
Motagua has won 10 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Génesis PN - Motagua were as follows:
05.04.2026
Motagua
-
Génesis PN
3:1
11.02.2026
Génesis PN
-
Motagua
0:5
04.10.2025
Motagua
-
Génesis PN
4:3
26.07.2025
Génesis PN
-
Motagua
2:1
10.05.2025
Motagua
-
Génesis PN
5:1
Latest results of Génesis PN
Latest results of Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana ✔ | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 37:25 | 12 | 40 |
| 2 | Motagua ✔ | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 36:17 | 19 | 39 |
| 3 | Olimpia ✔ | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 35:17 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Olancho | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 28:16 | 12 | 32 |
| 5 | Marathon | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23:19 | 4 | 27 |
| 6 | Genesis | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 20:28 | -8 | 23 |
| 7 | Choloma | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:32 | -9 | 23 |
| 8 | Platense | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
| 9 | UPNFM | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:30 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Juticalpa | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 18:41 | -23 | 18 |
| 11 | Victoria | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 25:40 | -15 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Real Espana is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
Motagua is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
Olimpia is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
