Result
1:2
28/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Pajac I. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP 2, TVP Sport app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (338/434) | 73% (299/409) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 2.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (338/434) | 73% (299/409) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (35/69) | 36% (24/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (61/104) | 55% (51/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 47% (8/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.62 | 1.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Barath P. ⚽,
- 35', Racovitan B. 🟨,
- 44', Barath P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Yusein S. ↓, Vutov A. ↑,
- 48', Nikolov G. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 1, Vutov A. (Pen),
- 60', Ameyaw M. ↓, Lopez I. ↑,
- 60', Pienko T. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 66', Karagaren B. ↓, Shinyashiki A. ↑,
- 66', Velev V. ↓, Gustavo Cascardo ↑,
- 70', Nikolov G. 🟨,
- 74', Barath P. ↓, Bulat M. ↑,
- 79', Brunes J. ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
- 79', Silva J. ↓, Adriano ↑,
- 80', Idowu D. ↓, Patrick Luan ↑,
- 85', Kovachev S. ↓, Mane I. ↑,
- 90+1', Velkovski D. 🟥,
- 90+3', Lopez I. (Pen),
- 90+3', 1 - 2, Lopez I. ⚽,
- 90+5', Shinyashiki A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Diaz J. 🟨,
- 90+6', Patrick Luan 🟨,
Chances of winning
Arda Kardzhali
20% | Draw
27.7% | Raków Częstochowa
52.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arda Kardzhali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Arda Kardzhali - Raków Częstochowa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.02 ↑
(3.64) |
3.54 ↑
(3.45) |
1.86 ↓
(1.87) |
1.9%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali - Raków Częstochowa?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Arda will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Raków will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 49.8% – 83.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Arda (1.81) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +0.5 - Arda (1.88) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +0.75 - Arda (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 2nd Half - Raków (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Raków Częstochowa will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Arda (votes: 5 - 25%). Raków (votes: 14 - 70%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Arda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Raków is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Arda Kardzhali won against Raków Częstochowa?
Arda Kardzhali has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Arda Kardzhali?
Raków Częstochowa has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arda Kardzhali - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
21.08.2025
Raków Częstochowa
-
Arda Kardzhali
1:0
Latest results of Arda Kardzhali
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
