Raków Częstochowa vs Termalica Nieciecza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
21/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 22
  • Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.700.93
Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
920
Shots on target
45
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
46
Passes
78% (319/410)70% (237/338)
Yellow cards
03
Expected goals (xG)
1.700.93
xG on target (xGOT)
0.500.56
Total shots
920
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
38
Blocked shots
27
Shots inside the box
810
Shots outside the box
110
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2229
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1510
Passes
78% (319/410)70% (237/338)
Long passes
41% (23/56)43% (26/61)
Passes in final third
68% (87/128)65% (75/116)
Crosses
30% (6/20)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.94
Throw ins
2227
Fouls
1015
Tackles
81% (13/16)75% (12/16)
Duels won
5454
Clearances
3727
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
30
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
53
xGOT faced
0.560.50
Goals prevented
0.56-0.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', Wolski M. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Lopez I. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Strzalek I. , Kurzawa R. ,
  • 46', Durdov I. , Zapolnik K. ,
  • 60', Kurzawa R. 🟨,
  • 61', Silva J. C. , Adriano ,
  • 61', Makuch P. , Diaby-Fadiga L. ,
  • 69', Putivtsev A. , Guerrero S. ,
  • 69', Lopez I. , Rocha L. ,
  • 77', Fassbender M. , Jimenez J. ,
  • 79', Kubica K. 🟨,
  • 81', Ameyaw M. , Ilenic M. ,
  • 81', Brunes J. , Pienko T. ,
  • 82', Boboc R. , Hilbrycht D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Raków Częstochowa
64.6%
Draw
20.8%
Termalica Nieciecza
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.2% 17.9% 12.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Raków Częstochowa - Termalica Nieciecza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.29)
    4.52
    (5)
    6.34
    (6.9)
    6.3%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - Termalica Nieciecza?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Termalica will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 50.6%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Raków Częstochowa will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raków won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Termalica has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Raków is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Raków: Dawidowicz P. (Inactive) Kochergin V. (Knee Injury) Otieno E. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Repka O. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Raków: Arsenic Z. (Leg Injury) Lopez I. (Inactive)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Raków won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 2:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Raków won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Raków Częstochowa - Termalica Nieciecza were as follows:
    17.08.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - Raków Częstochowa 2:3
    Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
    Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan301410655:411452
    2Gornik Zabrze30147943:34949
    3Jagiellonia301210848:371146
    4Rakow301371043:37646
    5Wisla Plock30129932:28445
    6GKS Katowice301351243:41244
    7Zaglebie301281043:36744
    8Radomiak Radom3010101046:43340
    9Motor Lublin30912939:45-639
    10Piast Gliwice301161339:40-139
    11Lechia Gdansk301271157:54338
    12Korona Kielce301081237:36138
    13Cracovia309111035:38-338
    14Pogon Szczecin301151440:45-538
    15Legia30813934:36-237
    16Widzew Lodz301061436:37-136
    17Arka Gdynia30971431:54-2334
    18Termalica B-B30771636:55-1928

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          Relegation ~ Division 1