Result
0:2
19/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 4
- Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (179/284) | 62% (165/265) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (179/284) | 62% (165/265) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (37/98) | 38% (28/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (46/89) | 58% (70/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 5% (1/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Smith H. 🟨,
- 43', Wright W. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 59', Smith H. ↓, Kilkenny G. ↑,
- 59', Ehibhatiomhan P. ↓, Glatzel P. ↑,
- 59', Nichols T. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
- 66', Snowdon J. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
- 75', Galvin R. ↓, High S. ↑,
- 75', Hartigan A. ↓, Osadebe E. ↑,
- 82', Hawkins O. ↓, Ndlovu L. ↑,
- 86', 0 - 1, Osadebe E. ⚽,
- 90+1', Shelton M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Stead C. ↓, Adeniran D. ↑,
- 90+7', Kensdale O. 🟨,
- 90+10', 0 - 2, Adeniran D. ⚽,
- 90+11', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Swindon Town
41.7% | Draw
27.1% | Barnet
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Swindon Town - Barnet Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(2.22) |
3.47 ↓
(3.49) |
3.04 ↓
(3.08) |
6.1%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Barnet?
Users Predictions:
Swindon Town will win
(26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.58% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Swindon Town will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Swindon have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Barnet has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Barnet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Swindon has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Barnet has had a series of home games.
- Swindon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Barnet?
Swindon Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barnet won against Swindon Town?
Barnet has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Barnet were as follows:
Latest results of Swindon Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Swindon | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 22:13 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Crewe | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 19 |
| 6 | Salford | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | MK Dons | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 18 |
| 8 | Cambridge Utd | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 18 |
| 9 | Chesterfield | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:19 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | Notts Co | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:13 | 7 | 17 |
| 11 | Barnet | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
| 12 | Bristol Rovers | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 | Bromley | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 17:15 | 2 | 15 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 15 |
| 15 | Oldham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 14 |
| 16 | Harrogate | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 17 | Barrow | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 13 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 11 |
| 19 | Colchester | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 11 |
| 20 | Accrington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 9 |
| 21 | Crawley | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 8 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6:24 | -18 | 7 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 6 |
| 24 | Newport | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10:21 | -11 | 5 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
