Swindon Town vs Barnet – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
19/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 4
  • Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.371.27
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
68
Passes
63% (179/284)62% (165/265)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.371.27
xG on target (xGOT)
0.371.75
Total shots
811
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
38
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
68
Touches in opposition box
918
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
29
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
63% (179/284)62% (165/265)
Long passes
38% (37/98)38% (28/73)
Passes in final third
52% (46/89)58% (70/120)
Crosses
8% (1/12)5% (1/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.350.49
Throw-ins
2230
Fouls
1313
Tackles
67% (10/15)56% (5/9)
Duels won
6846
Clearances
3327
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.750.37
Goals prevented
-0.250.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Smith H. 🟨,
  • 43', Wright W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 59', Smith H. , Kilkenny G. ,
  • 59', Ehibhatiomhan P. , Glatzel P. ,
  • 59', Nichols T. , Butterworth D. ,
  • 66', Snowdon J. , Bodin B. ,
  • 75', Galvin R. , High S. ,
  • 75', Hartigan A. , Osadebe E. ,
  • 82', Hawkins O. , Ndlovu L. ,
  • 86', 0 - 1, Osadebe E. ,
  • 90+1', Shelton M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Stead C. , Adeniran D. ,
  • 90+7', Kensdale O. 🟨,
  • 90+10', 0 - 2, Adeniran D. ,
  • 90+11', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Swindon Town
41.7%
Draw
27.1%
Barnet
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 27% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 26.9% 30.5%

Swindon Town - Barnet Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.25
(2.22)
3.47
(3.49)
3.04
(3.08)
6.1%
(6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Barnet?
  • Users Predictions: Swindon Town will win (26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.58%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Swindon Town will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Swindon have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Barnet has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Barnet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Swindon has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Barnet has had a series of home games.
    • Swindon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    Latest results of Barnet
    16.08.2025 Barnet - Walsall 1:2
    09.08.2025 Bromley - Barnet 2:0
    02.08.2025 Barnet - Fleetwood Town 0:2
    29.07.2025 Barnet - Newport County 2:3
    22.07.2025 Barnet - Wycombe Wanderers 1:1
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall18112528:181035
    2Swindon18104431:24734
    3MK Dons1895435:201532
    4Notts Co1894530:201031
    5Bromley1886428:22630
    6Gillingham1978426:20629
    7Cambridge Utd1885520:16429
    8Salford1892724:25-129
    9Colchester1977528:21728
    10Chesterfield1877432:29328
    11Crewe1883727:24327
    12Grimsby1875632:25726
    13Fleetwood1875627:26126
    14Barnet1867522:19325
    15Tranmere1858530:27323
    16Oldham1858516:13323
    17Accrington1856721:22-121
    18Barrow1855818:23-520
    19Crawley1845922:30-817
    20Shrewsbury1845918:31-1317
    21Bristol Rovers18521115:31-1617
    22Cheltenham18521114:32-1817
    23Harrogate18441017:28-1116
    24Newport18331218:33-1512

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League