Result
3:1
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 32
- Referee: Wager H. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.99 | 1.02 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (151/277) | 73% (322/440) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.99 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (151/277) | 73% (322/440) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (27/92) | 37% (29/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (62/134) | 56% (84/150) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 7% (2/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.67 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 60 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
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| 16 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.59 | -1.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Morgan I. ⚽, Hoole L. (A),
- 22', Hoole L. 🟨,
- 31', Clarke O. 🟨,
- 32', Berkoe K. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Kirkman B. ⚽,
- 45+5', Morgan I. 🟨,
- 45+5', Ball J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Ball J. ↓, Holman F. ↑,
- 58', 2 - 1, Lloyd G. ⚽, Berkoe K. (A),
- 60', Batty J. ↓, Olakigbe M. ↑,
- 63', Morgan I. ↓, Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ↑,
- 72', McGregor J. ↓, Mabete F. ↑,
- 72', Oldaker D. ↓, Snowdon J. ↑,
- 72', Nichols T. ↓, Borland A. ↑,
- 79', Sang T. ↓, Freeman N. ↑,
- 79', Scully A. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 1, Freeman N. ⚽,
- 83', Berkoe K. ↓, Benning M. ↑,
- 88', Borland A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Shrewsbury Town
31.8% | Draw
28.1% | Swindon Town
40.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shrewsbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+5%)
Shrewsbury Town - Swindon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.93 ↓
(3.25) |
3.34 ↓
(3.37) |
2.34 ↑
(2.08) |
6.9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Shrewsbury Town - Swindon Town?
Users Predictions:
Swindon Town will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Swindon Town will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 21 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 1.
- Shrewsbury is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Swindon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Shrewsbury may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Swindon: Bodin B.
(Inactive)
Butterworth D.
(Inactive)
Glatzel P.
(Inactive)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Clucas S.
(Injury)
Ojinnaka T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Swindon: Ball J.
(Inactive)
Wilson-Brown T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shrewsbury won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Shrewsbury Town won against Swindon Town?
Shrewsbury Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Shrewsbury Town?
Swindon Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shrewsbury Town - Swindon Town were as follows:
23.08.2025
Swindon Town
-
Shrewsbury Town
2:1
Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
Latest results of Swindon Town
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
