Carlisle United vs Wealdstone – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
03/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
115
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
61
Yellow Cards
20
Total shots
115
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
72
Corner Kicks
61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Armstrong L. ,
  • 37', Williams J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', 2 - 0, Hayden A. ,
  • 70', Hutchinson D. , Hassan S. ,
  • 72', Whelan C. , Embleton E. ,
  • 80', Ellis J. , Kelly G. ,
  • 80', Obiero M. , Olomola O. ,
  • 81', Mussa O. , Turner S. ,
  • 87', Linney R. 🟨,
  • 90', Linney R. , Ajiboye D. ,

Chances of winning


Carlisle United
68.2%
Draw
19.3%
Wealdstone
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.1% 22.7% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3% 20.9% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carlisle United's performance.
  • Wealdstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carlisle United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wealdstone than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wealdstone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Carlisle United - Wealdstone Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.52)
    4.86
    (4.09)
    7.36
    (5.71)
    7.8%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Wealdstone?
  • Users Predictions: Carlisle United will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Carlisle United will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
    • Recent performances by Carlisle have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Wealdstone's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Carlisle is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carlisle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Wealdstone were as follows:
    23.08.2025 Wealdstone - Carlisle United 0:1
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    Latest results of Wealdstone
    26.12.2025 Wealdstone - Boreham Wood 0:4
    21.12.2025 Halifax Town - Wealdstone 2:2
    16.12.2025 Truro City - Wealdstone 2:0
    13.12.2025 Wealdstone - Cheshunt 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Rochdale (2)Bye
    2Scunthorpe (5)Southend (6)1 : 0
    3Carlisle (3)Bye
    4Boreham Wood (4)Forest Green (7)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rochdale (2)Scunthorpe (5)
    2Carlisle (3)Boreham Wood (4)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2