Morecambe vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
06/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 43
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
64
Corner kicks
24
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
69
Corner kicks
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', Gilliead A. , Davies A. ,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Edwards G. , Lewis P. (A),
  • 45+2', Galvin R. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Lewis P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Linney R. , Ajiboye D. (A),
  • 64', Songo'o Y. , Thomas G. ,
  • 68', 1 - 2, Ajiboye D. , Breeze G. (A),
  • 71', Kelly G. , Wyke Ch. ,
  • 75', Lewis P. , Ogwuru D. ,
  • 75', Popov C. , Tollitt B. ,
  • 82', 2 - 2, Macadam H. (Own goal),
  • 85', Wyke Ch. 🟨,
  • 85', Azeez M. 🟨,
  • 90', Edwards G. , Conte R. ,
  • 90', Linney R. , Yeboah E. ,
  • 90', Wearne S. , Whelan C. ,

Chances of winning


Morecambe
24.9%
Draw
23.6%
Carlisle United
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.7% 22.7% 51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1% 22.2% 52.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Morecambe - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.7
    (3.62)
    3.93
    (4.1)
    1.81
    (1.8)
    7.8%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Morecambe - Carlisle United?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carlisle (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Carlisle United will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 1.
    • Morecambe is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Carlisle is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Carlisle is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Morecambe won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 0.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Morecambe - Carlisle United were as follows:
    30.12.2025 Carlisle United - Morecambe 1:0
    12.04.2025 Morecambe - Carlisle United 0:2
    26.12.2024 Carlisle United - Morecambe 0:1
    12.11.2024 Morecambe - Carlisle United 1:2
    Latest results of Morecambe
    03.04.2026 Rochdale - Morecambe 2:4
    28.03.2026 Morecambe - Aldershot Town 0:2
    21.03.2026 Yeovil Town - Morecambe 3:2
    14.03.2026 Morecambe - Braintree Town 1:1
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Rochdale (2)Bye
    2Scunthorpe (5)Southend (6)1 : 0
    3Carlisle (3)Bye
    4Boreham Wood (4)Forest Green (7)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rochdale (2)Scunthorpe (5)
    2Carlisle (3)Boreham Wood (4)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2