Fiorentina vs Polissya Zhytomyr – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia).

Conference League - Qualification - Final
Referee: De Burgos R. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


China	ZhiBo8
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.14	0.19
Ball Possession
62%	38%
Total shots
14	5
Shots on target
6	5
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
6	1
Passes
87% (475/545)	77% (260/339)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14	0.19
xG on target (xGOT)
2.59	1.10
Total shots
14	5
Shots on target
6	5
Shots off target
4	0
Blocked Shots
4	0
Shots inside the Box
12	2
Shots outside the Box
2	3
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
6	1
Touches in opposition box
35	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
15	3
Passes
87% (475/545)	77% (260/339)
Long passes
53% (25/47)	49% (27/55)
Passes in final third
75% (77/103)	54% (30/56)
Crosses
23% (5/22)	0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.30	0.12
Throw-ins
19	12
Fouls
3	15
Tackles
75% (6/8)	53% (9/17)
Duels won
53	34
Clearances
13	23
Interceptions
8	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
1.10	2.59
Goals prevented
-0.90	-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Nazarenko O. ⚽,
14', 0 - 2, Andriyevski O. ⚽,
45', Talles Costa 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Ndour C. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
46', Parisi F. ↓, Gosens R. ↑,
56', Talles Costa ↓, Lednev B. ↑,
65', Comuzzo P. ↓, Pongracic M. ↑,
65', Mandragora R. ↓, Sohm S. ↑,
68', Filippov O. ↓, Gayduchyk M. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Dodo ⚽, Gosens R. (A),
81', Babenko R. ↓, Karaman Y. ↑,
81', Nazarenko O. ↓, Goncalves A. ↑,
81', Kravchenko M. ↓, Korniychuk S. ↑,
84', Karaman Y. 🟨,
86', Viti M. ↓, Ranieri L. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Ranieri L. ⚽, Gosens R. (A),
89', 3 - 2, Dzeko E. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Fiorentina
72.3%

Draw
17.3%

Polissya Zhytomyr
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.2%

15.2%

7.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Polissya Zhytomyr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Fiorentina - Polissya Zhytomyr Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.18)	5.61 ↓ (6)	9.56 ↓ (12)	1.6% (9.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Polissya Zhytomyr?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Polissya will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 60.6% – 97.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fiorentina will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 3-0. 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore.
Recent performances by Fiorentina have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Polissya has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Fiorentina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Fiorentina has had a series of away games.
Recently, Polissya has had a series of home games.
In this match, Fiorentina is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fiorentina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Polissya Zhytomyr?

Fiorentina has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Polissya Zhytomyr won against Fiorentina?

Polissya Zhytomyr has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Polissya Zhytomyr were as follows:

21.08.2025 Polissya Zhytomyr - Fiorentina 0:3

Latest results of Fiorentina

24.08.2025 Cagliari - Fiorentina 1:1 ✺

21.08.2025 Polissya Zhytomyr - Fiorentina 0:3 ✺

09.08.2025 Manchester United - Fiorentina 1:1 ✺

05.08.2025 Nottingham Forest - Fiorentina 0:0 ✺

03.08.2025 Leicester City - Fiorentina 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Polissya Zhytomyr

21.08.2025 Polissya Zhytomyr - Fiorentina 0:3 ✺

17.08.2025 Polissya Zhytomyr - LNZ Cherkasy 0:2 ✺

14.08.2025 Paksi SE - Polissya Zhytomyr 2:1 ✺

10.08.2025 Polissya Zhytomyr - Kolos Kovalivka 0:1 ✺

07.08.2025 Polissya Zhytomyr - Paksi SE 3:0 ✺

UEFA Europa Conference League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Fiorentina	2	2	0	0	5:0	5	6
2	AEK Larnaca	2	2	0	0	5:0	5	6
3	Celje	2	2	0	0	5:1	4	6
4	Lausanne	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
5	Samsunspor	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
6	Mainz	2	2	0	0	2:0	2	6
7	Rayo Vallecano	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
8	Rakow	2	1	1	0	3:1	2	4
9	Strasbourg	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
10	Jagiellonia	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
11	Noah	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
12	AEK Athens FC	2	1	0	1	7:3	4	3
13	Zrinjski	2	1	0	1	5:1	4	3
14	Lech Poznan	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
15	Sparta Prague	2	1	0	1	4:2	2	3
16	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	2:1	1	3
17	Shakhtar Donetsk	2	1	0	1	4:4	0	3
18	Legia	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
19	Rijeka	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
20	Shkendija	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
21	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	1:4	-3	3
22	Lincoln Red Imps	2	1	0	1	2:6	-4	3
23	Drita	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
24	Hacken	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
25	KuPS	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
26	Omonia	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
27	Shelbourne	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1
28	Sigma Olomouc	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
29	Univ. Craiova	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
30	Breidablik	2	0	1	1	0:3	-3	1
31	Slovan Bratislava	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0
32	Hamrun	2	0	0	2	0:2	-2	0
33	Shamrock Rovers	2	0	0	2	1:6	-5	0
34	Dyn. Kyiv	2	0	0	2	0:5	-5	0
35	SK Rapid	2	0	0	2	1:7	-6	0
36	Aberdeen	2	0	0	2	2:9	-7	0

Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)