Result
4:0
06/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 24
- Referee: Szczech L. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 11', Pisek J. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 0, Kruszelnicki P. ⚽, Nunez C. (A),
- 25', 2 - 0, Cybulski K. ⚽, Kruszelnicki P. (A),
- 28', 3 - 0, Nunez C. ⚽, Cybulski K. (A),
- 38', Wuwer J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Sandoval D. ↓, Blachewicz M. ↑,
- 46', Lipkowski K. ↓, Welniak K. ↑,
- 48', Kruszelnicki P. 🟨,
- 48', Listkowski M. 🟨,
- 58', Wuwer J. ↓, Lysiak P. ↑,
- 58', Listkowski M. ↓, Szpakowski M. ↑,
- 62', Kruszelnicki P. ↓, Gerbowski F. ↑,
- 68', 4 - 0, Gerbowski F. ⚽,
- 71', Cybulski K. ↓, Kowalski J. ↑,
- 71', Pisek J. ↓, Bukowski A. ↑,
- 73', Krawczyk P. ↓, Rumin D. ↑,
- 75', Szpakowski M. 🟨,
- 80', Nunez C. ↓, Tsykalo Y. ↑,
- 81', Fucak K. ↓, Lukic D. ↑,
- 90+3', Baranski B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Stal Mielec 41.7% | Draw 26.4% | GKS Tychy 31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)GKS Tychy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Stal Mielec - GKS Tychy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.22 ↓ (2.44) |
3.5 ↓ (3.54) |
2.89 ↑ (2.51) |
8.3% (9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - GKS Tychy?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 6 - 60%). GKS Tychy will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stal Mielec: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Stal Mielec (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Stal Mielec (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Stal Mielec (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 2.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Recently, Stal Mielec has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against GKS Tychy?
Stal Mielec has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has GKS Tychy won against Stal Mielec?
GKS Tychy has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - GKS Tychy were as follows:
25.08.2025
GKS Tychy
-
Stal Mielec
0:1
Latest results of Stal Mielec
Latest results of GKS Tychy
Polish Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 57:24 | 33 | 52 |
| 2 | Slask Wroclaw | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49:39 | 10 | 43 |
| 3 | Grodzisk M | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 44:35 | 9 | 42 |
| 4 | Chrobry Glogow | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 41 |
| 5 | Wieczysta Krakow | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 51:35 | 16 | 40 |
| 6 | Polonia Warszawa | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 41:36 | 5 | 40 |
| 7 | Ruch Chorzow | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 38:34 | 4 | 40 |
| 8 | Legnica | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 43:43 | 0 | 38 |
| 9 | LKS Lodz | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 36:36 | 0 | 37 |
| 10 | S. Rzeszow | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 37:39 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 | Polonia Bytom | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 38:31 | 7 | 35 |
| 12 | Puszcza | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 34:31 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Odra Opole | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 25:32 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Pogon Siedlce | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 30 |
| 15 | Stal Mielec | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 20 |
| 16 | Pruszkow | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26:49 | -23 | 20 |
| 17 | Leczna | 25 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 27:46 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Tychy | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Division 2