Polonia Warsaw vs Stal Mielec – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:2
08/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 20
  • Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
83
Corner kicks
83
Yellow cards
12
Total shots
189
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
106
Corner kicks
83
Offsides
22
Free kicks
1612
Throw ins
1224
Fouls
914

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43', 1 - 0, Dadok R. , Vega D. (A),
  • 45', Gnaase D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 2)
  • 47', 1 - 1, Fucak K. ,
  • 50', 2 - 1, Zjawinski L. ,
  • 52', Senger M. 🟨,
  • 53', 2 - 2, Wlazlo P. ,
  • 67', Dadok R. , Mroz M. ,
  • 67', Cybulski K. , Kowalski J. ,
  • 67', Pisek J. , Szeliga B. ,
  • 68', Kavcic M. , Bukowski A. ,
  • 73', Fucak K. , Lukic D. ,
  • 77', Szeliga B. 🟨,
  • 78', Vitalucci H. , Terpilowski E. ,
  • 78', Vasin N. , Piotrowski B. ,
  • 78', Zjawinski L. , Kostorz K. ,
  • 78', 3 - 2, Salihu H. , Vega D. (A),
  • 82', 4 - 2, Durmus I. ,
  • 83', Cisse S. , Szur P. ,
  • 83', Tsykalo Y. , Domanski M. ,
  • 90+3', 5 - 2, Kostorz K. ,

Chances of winning


Polonia Warsaw
53%
Draw
24.3%
Stal Mielec
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.8% 22.9% 22.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Polonia Warsaw - Stal Mielec Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.63)
    3.84
    (3.91)
    4.05
    (4)
    8%
    (11.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Polonia Warsaw - Stal Mielec?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Stal Mielec (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stal Mielec (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
    • Polonia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Polonia is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Polonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Polonia Warsaw - Stal Mielec were as follows:
    02.08.2025 Stal Mielec - Polonia Warsaw 1:3
    Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla301611365:313459
    2Slask Wroclaw30159660:441654
    3Wieczysta Krakow30148860:431750
    4Chrobry Glogow301461041:291248
    5Polonia Warszawa30138946:43347
    6Ruch Chorzow301111844:42244
    7LKS Lodz29128944:42244
    8Grodzisk M291110847:44343
    9Legnica301271147:50-343
    10Puszcza301012841:37442
    11Polonia Bytom301181147:40741
    12S. Rzeszow301161342:49-739
    13Odra Opole309111028:35-738
    14Pogon Siedlce30991231:32-136
    15Stal Mielec30851743:58-1529
    16Leczna305121337:51-1427
    17Pruszkow30671734:58-2425
    18Tychy30561935:64-2921

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2