Result
1:1
01/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Cummings L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', 1 - 1, Smith C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Aberystwyth Town
43.2% | Draw
26.9% | Carmarthen Town
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aberystwyth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Carmarthen Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aberystwyth Town than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aberystwyth Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmarthen Town than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carmarthen Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Aberystwyth Town - Carmarthen Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↓
(2.3) |
3.37 ↓
(3.54) |
3.04 ↑
(2.61) |
10.2%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aberystwyth won 2.
- Recent performances by Aberystwyth have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Carmarthen Town is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Aberystwyth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aberystwyth won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:32. (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aberystwyth won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.3:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Aberystwyth Town won against Carmarthen Town?
Aberystwyth Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carmarthen Town won against Aberystwyth Town?
Carmarthen Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aberystwyth Town - Carmarthen Town were as follows:
22.08.2025
Carmarthen Town
-
Aberystwyth Town
1:0
Latest results of Aberystwyth Town
Latest results of Carmarthen Town
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 66 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 55 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 23 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 32 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 7 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | -3 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 2 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | -12 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | -12 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | -25 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | -17 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | -26 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | -29 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | -53 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation
