Result
1:2
24/03/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Rocha D. ⚽,
- 8', Franco J. 🟨,
- 21', Franco J. 🟨,
- 24', Borja E. ↓, Barrios J. ↑,
- 31', 1 - 1, Tejeda A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Rocha D. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
- 47', Nunez D. 🟨,
- 53', Aceituno M. 🟨,
- 55', Cordova J. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 2, Tejeda A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 58', Aceituno M. ↓, Anaya L. ↑,
- 58', Barrios J. ↓, Fernandez C. ↑,
- 62', Nunez D. 🟨,
- 65', Fernandez C. 🟥,
- 72', Anaya L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 73', Felix B. ↓, Miranda J. ↑,
- 73', Miranda J. 🟨,
- 76', Sander R. 🟨,
- 88', Florez E. ↓, Padilla G. ↑,
- 90', Sander R. ↓, Arzu Zapata C. I. ↑,
- 90+2', Riascos J. ↓, Perez K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Choloma
48.2% | Draw
26.8% | Génesis PN
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Choloma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Choloma's performance.Génesis PN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Génesis PN might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Choloma than the current prediction. (-11.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Choloma that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Génesis PN than the current prediction. (+11.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Génesis PN could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Choloma - Génesis PN Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.37) |
3.45 ↑
(3.4) |
3.69 ↑
(2.52) |
8.3%
(11.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 10)
- Choloma has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Génesis is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Choloma won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Choloma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Choloma won against Génesis PN?
Choloma has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Génesis PN won against Choloma?
Génesis PN has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Choloma - Génesis PN were as follows:
01.02.2026
Génesis PN
-
Choloma
0:0
02.11.2025
Génesis PN
-
Choloma
1:0
23.08.2025
Choloma
-
Génesis PN
2:1
Latest results of Choloma
Latest results of Génesis PN
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana ✔ | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 37:25 | 12 | 40 |
| 2 | Motagua ✔ | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 36:17 | 19 | 39 |
| 3 | Olimpia ✔ | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 35:17 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Olancho | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 28:16 | 12 | 32 |
| 5 | Marathon | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23:19 | 4 | 27 |
| 6 | Genesis | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 20:28 | -8 | 23 |
| 7 | Choloma | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:32 | -9 | 23 |
| 8 | Platense | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
| 9 | UPNFM | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:30 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Juticalpa | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 18:41 | -23 | 18 |
| 11 | Victoria | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 25:40 | -15 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Real Espana is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
Motagua is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
Olimpia is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
