Result
0:1
23/04/2026 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', Maldonado E. 🟨,
- 15', Zuniga A. 🟥,
- 17', 0 - 1, Maldonado E. ⚽,
- 22', Ruiz J. ↓, Onofre G. ↑,
- 28', Fonseca C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Guity E. ↓, Ardon C. ↑,
- 52', Rodriguez D. 🟥,
- 55', Perez J. ↓, Balanta R. A. ↑,
- 65', Pena K. ↓, Moreira R. ↑,
- 65', Nunez J. ↓, Rochez C. ↑,
- 65', Nunez D. ↓, Felix B. ↑,
- 82', Gutierrez C. ↓, Herrlein L. ↑,
- 85', Miranda J. ↓, Melendez D. ↑,
- 85', Tejeda A. ↓, Arzu Zapata C. I. ↑,
- 90', Lopez E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lobos UPNFM 44.8% | Draw 26.5% | Génesis PN 28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lobos UPNFM's form might have worsened.Génesis PN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Génesis PN's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (+13.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lobos UPNFM, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Génesis PN than the current prediction. (-9.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Génesis PN, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lobos UPNFM - Génesis PN Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.05 ↑ (1.64) |
3.47 ↓ (3.78) |
3.2 ↓ (4.47) |
8.9% (9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 9)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Génesis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lobos UPNFM is a strong favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lobos UPNFM won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Lobos UPNFM won against Génesis PN?
Lobos UPNFM has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Génesis PN won against Lobos UPNFM?
Génesis PN has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lobos UPNFM - Génesis PN were as follows:
02.03.2026
Génesis PN
-
Lobos UPNFM
0:2
27.09.2025
Génesis PN
-
Lobos UPNFM
2:3
23.07.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Génesis PN
2:1
12.03.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Génesis PN
1:1
25.01.2025
Génesis PN
-
Lobos UPNFM
4:0
Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
Latest results of Génesis PN
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura - TriangularesGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marathon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Olimpia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Real Espana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Motagua | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Genesis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Olancho | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Final)