Result
0:2
02/03/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45', 0 - 1, Pena K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Castillo M. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 46', Guity E. ↓, Vasquez E. ↑,
- 54', Nunez D. 🟨,
- 58', 0 - 2, Rochez J. ⚽,
- 62', Vargas A. ↓, Arzu Zapata C. I. ↑,
- 62', Nunez D. ↓, Felix B. ↑,
- 70', Pena K. ↓, Moreira R. ↑,
- 70', Nunez J. 🟨,
- 75', Rodas Andrino G. J. 🟨,
- 80', Miranda J. ↓, Palomo A. ↑,
- 80', Sander R. ↓, Melendez D. ↑,
- 85', Garcia J. 🟨,
- 89', Rochez J. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
- 90+1', Nunez J. ↓, Padilla J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Génesis PN
44% | Draw
27.6% | Lobos UPNFM
28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Génesis PN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Génesis PN than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Génesis PN - Lobos UPNFM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↓
(2.15) |
3.3 ↓
(3.36) |
3.21 ↑
(2.95) |
9.9%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Génesis PN - Lobos UPNFM?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Génesis will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Lobos UPNFM will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lobos UPNFM (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/E Goals - odd (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Génesis won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Lobos UPNFM may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Génesis will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Génesis won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Génesis won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 2.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Génesis PN won against Lobos UPNFM?
Génesis PN has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lobos UPNFM won against Génesis PN?
Lobos UPNFM has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Génesis PN - Lobos UPNFM were as follows:
27.09.2025
Génesis PN
-
Lobos UPNFM
2:3
23.07.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Génesis PN
2:1
12.03.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Génesis PN
1:1
25.01.2025
Génesis PN
-
Lobos UPNFM
4:0
20.10.2024
Lobos UPNFM
-
Génesis PN
1:4
Latest results of Génesis PN
Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana ✔ | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 31 |
| 2 | Motagua | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 25:11 | 14 | 29 |
| 3 | Olimpia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24:12 | 12 | 29 |
| 4 | Olancho | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 27 |
| 5 | Marathon | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21:16 | 5 | 24 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 18 |
| 7 | Choloma | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:22 | -7 | 17 |
| 8 | Genesis | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 16 |
| 9 | Platense | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20:21 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Juticalpa | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14:36 | -22 | 14 |
| 11 | Victoria | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Real Espana is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
