Result
0:2
29/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante, clay - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 68% | 81% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 60% (24/40) | 85% (33/39) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 44% (4/9) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 3/6 | 0/0 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 15% (6/39) | 40% (16/40) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 58% (11/19) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0/0 | 3/6 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 30 | 21 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 86% (6/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (32/59) | 77% (37/48) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 23% (11/48) | 46% (27/59) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (43/107) | 60% (64/107) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 100% (9/9) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 0% (0/9) | 33% (3/9) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 67% (12/18) |
Chances of winning
Pablo Carreno-Busta
50.6% | Pablo Llamas Ruiz
49.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Pablo Carreno-Busta - Pablo Llamas Ruiz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↑
(1.78) |
|
1.88 ↓
(1.93) |
7.3%
(8%) | |
What is the prediction for Pablo Carreno-Busta - Pablo Llamas Ruiz?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Llamas Ruiz (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Pablo Carreno-Busta will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 117. Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 191.
- Carreno Busta is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Llamas Ruiz has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Llamas Ruiz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- We predict that Carreno Busta will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carreno Busta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Pablo Carreno-Busta won against Pablo Llamas Ruiz?
Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pablo Llamas Ruiz won against Pablo Carreno-Busta?
Pablo Llamas Ruiz has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pablo Carreno-Busta - Pablo Llamas Ruiz were as follows:
24.08.2025
Pablo Carreno-Busta
-
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
3:0
Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
Latest results of Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Ofner S. (1) | Skatov T. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kolar Z. | Moro Canas A. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Gakhov I. (RET.) | Harris L. | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Cecchinato M. | Lajovic D. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Martinez P. (4) | Sanchez Jover C. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Bertola R. | Hassan B. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Sanchez Quilez A. (Q) | Montes-De La Torre I. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Gulin S. (Q) | Carreno-Busta P. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Choinski J. (7) | Pereira T. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Safiullin R. | Bailly G. A. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Merida Aguilar D. | Houkes M. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Shelbayh A. (LL) | Gaubas V. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Ivashka I. (Q) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Blanch D. (Q) | Engel J. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Butvilas E. | Martin Tiffon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Pieri S. (Q) | De Jong J. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ofner S. (1) | Moro Canas A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Harris L. | Cecchinato M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Martinez P. (4) | Bertola R. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Sanchez Quilez A. | Carreno-Busta P. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Choinski J. (7) | Safiullin R. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Houkes M. | Gaubas V. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Blanch D. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Butvilas E. | De Jong J. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ofner S. (1) | Cecchinato M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Martinez P. (4) | Carreno-Busta P. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Safiullin R. | Houkes M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Butvilas E. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ofner S. (1) | Carreno-Busta P. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Safiullin R. | Llamas Ruiz P. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Carreno-Busta P. (5) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 0 : 2 |
