Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP US Open Pablo Carreno-Busta - Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Result
3:0
24/08/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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polandPolandHBO Max
romaniaRomaniaHBO Max
serbiaSerbiaHBO Max
sloveniaSloveniaHBO Max
spainSpainHBO Max
swedenSwedenHBO Max

Match Stats

Aces
412
Double Faults
18
1st Serve Percentage
63%60%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (46/62)73% (52/71)
2nd Serve Points Won
72% (26/36)44% (21/48)
Break Points Saved
100% (5/5)79% (11/14)
1st Return Points Won
27% (19/71)26% (16/62)
2nd Return Points Won
56% (27/48)28% (10/36)
Break Points Converted
21% (3/14)0% (0/5)
Winners
3032
Unforced Errors
4261
Net Points Won
63% (12/19)56% (18/32)
Service Points Won
73% (72/98)61% (72/119)
Return Points Won
39% (47/119)27% (26/98)
Total Points Won
55% (119/217)45% (98/217)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
100% (15/15)80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)0% (0/15)
Total Games Won
60% (18/30)40% (12/30)
Distance Covered (metres)
22722419

Chances of winning


Pablo Carreno-Busta
61.6%
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.7% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1% 37.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Pablo Carreno-Busta - Pablo Llamas Ruiz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.5)

    2.5
    (2.63)
    3.9%
    (4.7%)
    What is the prediction for Pablo Carreno-Busta - Pablo Llamas Ruiz?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Carreno Busta will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Llamas Ruiz will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Carreno Busta: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 113. Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 355.
    • Carreno Busta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Llamas Ruiz is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Llamas Ruiz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Carreno Busta could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
    Latest results of Pablo Llamas Ruiz
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Kopriva V.
    2Popyrin A.Ruusuvuori E.
    3Royer V. (WC)Bu Y.
    4Fucsovics M.Shapovalov D. (27)
    5Bublik A. (23)Cilic M.
    6Sonego L.Schoolkate T. (WC)
    7Borges N.Holt B.
    8Moller E.Paul T. (14)
    9Musetti L. (10)Mpetshi Perricard G.
    10Halys Q.Goffin D.
    11Brooksby J.Vukic A.
    12Passaro F. (Q)Cobolli F. (24)
    13Diallo G. (31)Dzumhur D.
    14Munar J.Faria J. (LL)
    15Bergs Z.Tseng C. H.
    16Gomez F. A. (Q)Draper J. (5)
    17Zverev A. (3)Tabilo A.
    18Bautista-Agut R.Fearnley J.
    19Monfils G.Safiullin R.
    20Harris B. (LL)Auger-Aliassime F. (25)
    21Humbert U. (22)Walton A.
    22Kovacevic A.Wong C. (Q)
    23Duckworth J. (LL)Boyer T. (WC)
    24Prizmic D. (Q)Rublev A. (15)
    25Khachanov K. (9)Basavareddy N. (WC)
    26Dellien H.Majchrzak K.
    27Riedi L. (Q)Martinez P.
    28Arnaldi M.Cerundolo F. (19)
    29Tsitsipas S. (26)Muller A.
    30Altmaier D.Medjedovic H.
    31Gaston H.Mochizuki S. (Q)
    32O'Connell C.De Minaur A. (8)
    33Djokovic N. (7)Tien L.
    34Svajda Z. (Q)Piros Z. (Q)3 : 0
    35Norrie C.Korda S.
    36Comesana F.Michelsen A. (28)
    37Tiafoe F. (17)Nishioka Y.
    38Damm M. (Q)Blanch Dar. (WC)
    39Struff J-L. (Q)McDonald M.
    40Van De Zandschulp B.Rune H. (11)
    41Mensik J. (16)Jarry N.3 : 0
    42Blanchet U. (Q)Marozsan F.3 : 1
    43Fonseca J.Kecmanovic M.
    44Nardi L.Machac T. (21)0 : 3
    45Nakashima B. (30)De Jong J. (Q)
    46Kym J. (Q)Quinn E.3 : 1
    47Baez S.Harris L. (Q)
    48Nava E. (WC)Fritz T. (4)0 : 3
    49Shelton B. (6)Buse I. (Q)3 : 0
    50Carreno-Busta P.Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)3 : 0
    51Thompson J.Moutet C.3 : 1
    52Mannarino A.Griekspoor T. (29)3 : 0
    53Lehecka J. (20)Coric B.3 : 1
    54Ugo Carabelli C.Etcheverry T. M.0 : 3
    55Galan D. E. (Alt)Collignon R.
    56Ofner S.Ruud C. (12)
    57Medvedev D. (13)Bonzi B.
    58Navone M.Giron M.
    59Carballes Baena R.Rinderknech A.1 : 3
    60Shevchenko A.Davidovich Fokina A. (18)0 : 3
    61Darderi L. (32)Hijikata R.3 : 0
    62Dostanic S. (WC)Spizzirri E. (WC)0 : 3
    63Bellucci M.Shang J.
    64Opelka R.Alcaraz C. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32
    17TBD #33Svajda Z.
    18TBD #35TBD #36
    19TBD #37TBD #38
    20TBD #39TBD #40
    21Mensik J. (16)Blanchet U.
    22TBD #43Machac T. (21)
    23TBD #45Kym J.
    24TBD #47Fritz T. (4)
    25Shelton B. (6)Carreno-Busta P.
    26Thompson J.Mannarino A.
    27Lehecka J. (20)Etcheverry T. M.
    28TBD #55TBD #56
    29TBD #57TBD #58
    30Rinderknech A.Davidovich Fokina A. (18)
    31Darderi L. (32)Spizzirri E.
    32TBD #63TBD #64

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2