Result
Carreno-Busta P. Retired
11/04/2026 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 65% | 60% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 46% (17/37) | 58% (18/31) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 14% (3/21) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 4/8 | 4/10 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 45% (14/31) | 54% (20/37) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 86% (18/21) | 40% (8/20) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 6/10 | 4/8 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 18 | 30 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 86% (6/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (27/54) | 40% (21/52) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (31/52) | 50% (27/54) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (58/106) | 45% (48/106) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 25% (2/8) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 50% (4/8) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 38% (6/16) |
Chances of winning
Pedro Martinez Portero 38.9% | Pablo Carreno-Busta 61.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pedro Martinez Portero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pablo Carreno-Busta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pedro Martinez Portero - Pablo Carreno-Busta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.41 ↑ (2.32) |
|
1.54 ↓ (1.56) |
6.4% (7.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Pedro Martinez Portero - Pablo Carreno-Busta?
Users Predictions:
Pablo Carreno-Busta will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 119. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 92.
- Martinez Portero has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Carreno Busta is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Carreno Busta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Carreno Busta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that Carreno Busta will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Martinez Portero won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Pedro Martinez Portero won against Pablo Carreno-Busta?
Pedro Martinez Portero has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pablo Carreno-Busta won against Pedro Martinez Portero?
Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pedro Martinez Portero - Pablo Carreno-Busta were as follows:
27.03.2026
Pedro Martinez Portero
-
Pablo Carreno-Busta
1:2
02.10.2023
Pablo Carreno-Busta
-
Pedro Martinez Portero
0:2
Latest results of Pedro Martinez Portero
Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Virtanen O. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Machac T. | Baez S. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Martinez P. (Q) | Sonego L. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Navone M. | Rublev A. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | De Minaur A. (3) | Ofner S. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Trungelliti M. (LL) | Medjedovic H. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Borges N. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Etcheverry T. M. | Draper J. (RET.) (8) | 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Norrie C. (7) | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Opelka R. | Quinn E. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Munar J. | Jodar R. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Khachanov K. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Fils A. (9) | Atmane T. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Nakashima B. | Cerundolo J. M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Buse I. | Moutet C. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Landaluce M. (WC) | Musetti L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Machac T. (WO.) | |
| 2 | Sonego L. | Rublev A. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | De Minaur A. (3) | Medjedovic H. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Borges N. | Etcheverry T. M. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Norrie C. (7) | Quinn E. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Jodar R. | Ugo Carabelli C. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Fils A. (9) | Nakashima B. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Moutet C. | Musetti L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Machac T. | Rublev A. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Medjedovic H. | Borges N. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Norrie C. (7) | Jodar R. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Fils A. (9) | Musetti L. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Rublev A. (5) | Medjedovic H. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Jodar R. | Fils A. (9) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Rublev A. (5) | Fils A. (9) | 0 : 2 |