Pedro Martinez Portero vs Pablo Carreno-Busta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Carreno-Busta P. Retired
11/04/2026 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
43
1st serve percentage
65%60%
1st serve points won
46% (17/37)58% (18/31)
2nd serve points won
60% (12/20)14% (3/21)
Break Points Saved
4/84/10
1st return points won
45% (14/31)54% (20/37)
2nd return points won
86% (18/21)40% (8/20)
Break Points Converted
6/104/8
Winners
820
Unforced errors
1830
Net points won
67% (4/6)86% (6/7)
Service Points Won
50% (27/54)40% (21/52)
Return Points Won
60% (31/52)50% (27/54)
Total Points Won
55% (58/106)45% (48/106)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
50% (4/8)25% (2/8)
Return games won
75% (6/8)50% (4/8)
Total games won
63% (10/16)38% (6/16)

Chances of winning


Pedro Martinez Portero
38.9%
Pablo Carreno-Busta
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 53.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pedro Martinez Portero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pablo Carreno-Busta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pedro Martinez Portero - Pablo Carreno-Busta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.32)

    1.54
    (1.56)
    6.4%
    (7.4%)
    What is the prediction for Pedro Martinez Portero - Pablo Carreno-Busta?
  • Users Predictions: Pablo Carreno-Busta will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 119. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 92.
    • Martinez Portero has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Carreno Busta is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Carreno Busta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Carreno Busta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Carreno Busta will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Martinez Portero won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pedro Martinez Portero - Pablo Carreno-Busta were as follows:
    27.03.2026 Pedro Martinez Portero - Pablo Carreno-Busta 1:2
    02.10.2023 Pablo Carreno-Busta - Pedro Martinez Portero 0:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Virtanen O. (Q)2 : 0
    2Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    3Martinez P. (Q)Sonego L.1 : 2
    4Navone M.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    5De Minaur A. (3)Ofner S. (Q)2 : 0
    6Trungelliti M. (LL)Medjedovic H. (Q)0 : 2
    7Borges N.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    8Etcheverry T. M.Draper J. (RET.) (8)1 : 1
    9Norrie C. (7)Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 1
    10Opelka R.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    11Munar J.Jodar R. (WC)0 : 2
    12Ugo Carabelli C.Khachanov K. (4)2 : 0
    13Fils A. (9)Atmane T.2 : 1
    14Nakashima B.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 0
    15Buse I.Moutet C.0 : 2
    16Landaluce M. (WC)Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Machac T. (WO.)
    2Sonego L.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    3De Minaur A. (3)Medjedovic H.0 : 2
    4Borges N.Etcheverry T. M.2 : 0
    5Norrie C. (7)Quinn E.2 : 1
    6Jodar R.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    7Fils A. (9)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    8Moutet C.Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Machac T.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    2Medjedovic H.Borges N.2 : 0
    3Norrie C. (7)Jodar R.0 : 2
    4Fils A. (9)Musetti L. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rublev A. (5)Medjedovic H.2 : 1
    2Jodar R.Fils A. (9)1 : 2

    Final
    1Rublev A. (5)Fils A. (9)0 : 2