Fiorentina vs Atalanta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A
Football Italian Serie A Fiorentina - Atalanta
Result
1:0
30/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 30
  • Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
indiaIndiaGXR World
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
israelIsraelONE Sport 2, Sport 2
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
maldivesMaldivesICE Sports, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean, ESPN Norte
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play, Premier Football
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.561.22
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
40
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
79% (309/392)78% (361/463)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.561.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.400.00
Total shots
129
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1127
Through passes
100% (2/2)100% (1/1)
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
167
Passes
79% (309/392)78% (361/463)
Long passes
42% (25/60)35% (15/43)
Passes in final third
53% (40/76)61% (85/139)
Crosses
0% (0/8)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.571.79
Fouls
716
Tackles
60% (9/15)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4932
Clearances Total
2919
Interceptions
135
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.001.40
Goals prevented
0.000.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45', 1 - 0, Kean M. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Lookman A. ↓, Maldini D. ↑,
  • 55', Retegui M. ↓, Samardzic L. ↑,
  • 65', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Brescianini M. ↑,
  • 67', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
  • 71', Parisi F. ↓, Folorunsho M. ↑,
  • 75', Zappacosta D. ↓, Cuadrado J. ↑,
  • 75', Pasalic M. ↓, Ruggeri M. ↑,
  • 77', Hien I. 🟨,
  • 84', Kean M. ↓, Zaniolo N. ↑,
  • 84', Fagioli N. ↓, Richardson A. ↑,
  • 84', Dodo ↓, Comuzzo P. ↑,
  • 86', Samardzic L. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Kolasinac S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
26%		Draw
27.5%		Atalanta
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.4% 27.2% 47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25% 27.6% 48.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
    •

    Fiorentina - Atalanta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.66 ↓
    (3.77)    		 3.49 ↓
    (3.52)    		 2.06 ↑
    (2.02)    		 4.5%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Atalanta?
  • Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 11 - 24.4%). Atalanta will win (votes: 30 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 52.9% – 80.5%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 3.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Atalanta will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E. (Heart Problems) Colpani A. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Atalanta: Cuadrado J. (Thigh Injury) Ederson (Red Card) Kossounou O. (Thigh Injury) Manzoni A. (Inactive) Posch S. (Thigh Injury) Scalvini G. (Shoulder Injury) Scamacca G. (Thigh Injury) Tornaghi P. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Atalanta: Palestra M. (Inactive) Retegui M. (Thigh Injury) Sulemana I. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 32:36 (average 1.6:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fiorentina won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:12 (average 1.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Atalanta were as follows:
    15.09.2024 Atalanta - Fiorentina 3:2
    02.06.2024 Atalanta - Fiorentina 2:3
    24.04.2024 Atalanta - Fiorentina 4:1
    03.04.2024 Fiorentina - Atalanta 1:0
    17.09.2023 Fiorentina - Atalanta 3:2
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    13.03.2025 Fiorentina - Panathinaikos 3:1 ✺
    09.03.2025 Napoli - Fiorentina 2:1 ✺
    06.03.2025 Panathinaikos - Fiorentina 3:2 ✺
    28.02.2025 Fiorentina - Lecce 1:0 ✺
    23.02.2025 Verona - Fiorentina 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Atalanta
    09.03.2025 Juventus - Atalanta 0:4 ✺
    01.03.2025 Atalanta - Venezia 0:0 ✺
    23.02.2025 Empoli - Atalanta 0:5 ✺
    18.02.2025 Atalanta - Club Brugge 1:3 ✺
    15.02.2025 Atalanta - Cagliari 0:0 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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