Almería vs Real Sociedad B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
29/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 32
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA 3
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.231.92
Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
2918
Shots on target
106
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
76
Passes
78% (292/374)80% (336/418)
Yellow cards
25
Expected goals (xG)
3.231.92
xG on target (xGOT)
3.791.42
Total shots
2918
Shots on target
106
Shots off target
123
Blocked shots
79
Shots inside the box
2510
Shots outside the box
48
Hit the woodwork
20
Headed goals
01
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
4324
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1513
Passes
78% (292/374)80% (336/418)
Long passes
40% (23/58)38% (16/42)
Passes in final third
68% (65/95)72% (89/123)
Crosses
38% (6/16)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.811.54
Throw ins
1519
Fouls
1315
Tackles
64% (14/22)69% (11/16)
Duels won
6641
Clearances
1518
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
55
xGOT faced
1.423.79
Goals prevented
0.42-1.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, de la Fuente M. ,
  • 19', 2 - 0, Arribas S. ,
  • 31', Carbonell T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Luna M. , Chirino D. ,
  • 51', Lopy D. 🟨,
  • 56', 3 - 0, Arribas S. , Puigmal A. (A),
  • 61', Astiazaran L. , Mariezkurrena A. ,
  • 61', Rodriguez M. , Gorosabel G. ,
  • 61', Marchal A. , Diaz D. ,
  • 63', Carrera G. 🟨,
  • 66', 3 - 1, Carrera G. , Gorosabel G. (A),
  • 68', Puigmal A. , Morcillo J. ,
  • 68', Lopy D. , Dzodic S. ,
  • 68', Arribas S. , Melamed N. ,
  • 69', Fraga A. 🟨,
  • 70', 4 - 1, Embarba A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 72', Embarba A. 🟨,
  • 76', de la Fuente M. , Soko P. ,
  • 77', 5 - 1, Munoz A. ,
  • 79', Balda J. , Agote U. ,
  • 79', Carbonell T. , Eceizabarrena J. ,
  • 80', Aguirre I. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Dadie Izagirre A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Almería
60.7%
Draw
21.3%
Real Sociedad B
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60% 22.2% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 21.9% 17.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Real Sociedad B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Almería - Real Sociedad B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.56)
    4.46
    (4.22)
    5.22
    (5.26)
    6%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Almería - Real Sociedad B?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Almería (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Almería (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Almería (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Almería (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Almería (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.25 - Almería (1.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Almería (1.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Almería (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH +1 - Almería (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH +2 - Almería (1.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Almería (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Real Sociedad B (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Almería will win (34 of 41 users predict this - 82.93%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%94.45%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Almería will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 21 high ROI users predict this event. Almería (votes: 20 - 95.2%). Real Sociedad B (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).
    • Almería is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Real Sociedad B has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Real Sociedad B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Almería is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Almería: Dzodic S. (International duty) Gui Guedes (Injury) Leo Baptistao (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Real Sociedad B: Lebarbier A. (Injury) Ochieng J. (International duty) Orobengoa E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Real Sociedad B: Calderon I. (Inactive)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Almería won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Almería won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Real Sociedad B were as follows:
    29.08.2025 Real Sociedad B - Almería 2:2
    Latest results of Almería
    20.03.2026 Huesca - Almería 1:3
    14.03.2026 Zaragoza - Almería 2:0
    09.03.2026 Almería - Leonesa 3:0
    21.02.2026 Almería - Córdoba 2:1
    Latest results of Real Sociedad B
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander341951067:531462
    2Almeria34187966:471961
    3Dep. La Coruna34179852:371560
    4Las Palmas341512745:281757
    5Castellon34169956:411557
    6Malaga34169956:411557
    7Burgos CF34169941:291257
    8Eibar341591040:31954
    9Gijon341471345:43249
    10Ceuta341461442:55-1348
    11Andorra3412101250:47346
    12Cordoba341291346:52-645
    13Albacete3411111243:45-244
    14Granada CF3410121243:41242
    15Real Sociedad B341171645:50-540
    16Leganes349121338:37139
    17Valladolid341091539:47-839
    18Cadiz CF341081633:47-1438
    19Zaragoza348101631:46-1534
    20Huesca34881834:52-1832
    21Mirandes34881835:54-1932
    22Cultural Leonesa34881831:55-2432

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation