Result
4:2
07/03/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 29
- Referee: de Ena Wolf A. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.40 | 2.74 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (183/267) | 85% (468/553) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.40 | 2.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 2.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 50 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (183/267) | 85% (468/553) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (23/66) | 60% (25/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (36/66) | 78% (144/185) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 22% (6/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 2.32 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.84 | 2.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.84 | -1.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 2', 1 - 0, Ochieng J. ⚽,
- 5', 1 - 1, Calatrava A. ⚽, Camara O. (A),
- 6', 2 - 1, Carrera G. ⚽, Diaz D. (A),
- 14', Balda J. 🟨,
- 24', 2 - 2, Camara O. ⚽,
- 45+2', Kita K. 🟨,
- 45+4', Ruiz S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Santiago P. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
- 46', Diaz D. ↓, Astiazaran L. ↑,
- 56', Carbonell T. 🟨,
- 68', Sanchez R. ↓, Mabil A. ↑,
- 68', Camara O. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 69', 3 - 2, Ochieng J. ⚽,
- 70', Gerenabarrena B. 🟨,
- 71', Barri 🟨,
- 71', Carrera G. 🟨,
- 73', Barri ↓, Jakobsen A. ↑,
- 73', Ruiz S. ↓, Tincho ↑,
- 81', Aguirre I. ↓, Unax A. ↑,
- 81', Ochieng J. ↓, Marchal A. ↑,
- 82', Astiazaran L. 🟨,
- 83', Carrera G. ↓, Mariezkurrena A. ↑,
- 87', Mariezkurrena A. 🟨,
- 88', Gorosabel G. ↓, Oleaga J. ↑,
- 90+3', 4 - 2, Mariezkurrena A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Real Sociedad B
23.5% | Draw
25.2% | Castellón
51.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Real Sociedad B - Castellón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.99 ↑
(3.97) |
3.71 ↓
(3.72) |
1.84 ↓
(1.86) |
6.4%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Real Sociedad B - Castellón?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Castellón will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 42.8% – 90.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Castellón will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- In this match, Castellón is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Real Sociedad B: Olasagasti L.
(Injury)
Orobengoa E.
(Knee Injury)
Ramirez D.
(Inactive)
Rodriguez M.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Castellón: Alcazar L.
(Yellow Cards)
Aurelio D.
(Knee Injury)
Mellot J.
(Red Card)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad B won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 2:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Real Sociedad B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Sociedad B won against Castellón?
Real Sociedad B has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Real Sociedad B?
Castellón has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Sociedad B - Castellón were as follows:
15.11.2025
Castellón
-
Real Sociedad B
5:4
27.05.2023
Real Sociedad B
-
Castellón
1:1
17.12.2022
Castellón
-
Real Sociedad B
1:1
Latest results of Real Sociedad B
Latest results of Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 79:57 | 22 | 72 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 59:41 | 18 | 68 |
| 3 | Almeria | 37 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 74:56 | 18 | 67 |
| 4 | Castellon | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 65:48 | 17 | 64 |
| 5 | Malaga | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 66:49 | 17 | 63 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 37 | 17 | 12 | 8 | 49:31 | 18 | 63 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 37 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 44:33 | 11 | 61 |
| 8 | Eibar | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:36 | 11 | 61 |
| 9 | Cordoba | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 54:56 | -2 | 57 |
| 10 | Andorra | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 56:48 | 8 | 55 |
| 11 | Ceuta | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 46:58 | -12 | 54 |
| 12 | Gijon | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 51:49 | 2 | 52 |
| 13 | Albacete | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 49:51 | -2 | 50 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 48:49 | -1 | 48 |
| 15 | Valladolid | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 40:48 | -8 | 43 |
| 16 | Leganes | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 41:46 | -5 | 42 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad B | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 46:54 | -8 | 41 |
| 18 | Cadiz CF | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Mirandes | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 40:60 | -20 | 36 |
| 20 | Huesca | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 39:59 | -20 | 36 |
| 21 | Zaragoza | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 33:51 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Cultural Leonesa | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 35:62 | -27 | 33 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
