Result
0:2
29/08/2025 at 04:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zhangjiagang, hard - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 51% | 64% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (17/26) | 74% (28/38) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (13/25) | 62% (13/21) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 75% (3/4) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 26% (10/38) | 35% (9/26) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 48% (12/25) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 50% (3/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (30/51) | 69% (41/59) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 31% (18/59) | 41% (21/51) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (48/110) | 56% (62/110) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 90% (9/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 33% (3/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 63% (12/19) |
Chances of winning
Ilia Simakin
48.5% | Sho Shimabukuro
51.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilia Simakin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilia Simakin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sho Shimabukuro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ilia Simakin - Sho Shimabukuro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↑
(1.84) |
|
1.81 ↓
(1.84) |
7.1%
(8.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Ilia Simakin - Sho Shimabukuro?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Simakin will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Shimabukuro will win (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Simakin is ranked ATP: 236. Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 198.
- Simakin is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Shimabukuro has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Shimabukuro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilia Simakin won against Sho Shimabukuro?
Ilia Simakin has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sho Shimabukuro won against Ilia Simakin?
Sho Shimabukuro has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilia Simakin - Sho Shimabukuro were as follows:
Latest results of Ilia Simakin
Latest results of Sho Shimabukuro
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Tomic B. (1) | Sekulic P. (PR) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Binda A. | Tokuda R. (Alt) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Yevseyev D. | Moriya H. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Imamura M. | Crawford O. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Sun F. (4) | Mo Y. C. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Shin S. | Shin W. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Fomin S. (Alt) | Isomura K. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Cui J. | Gea A. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Simakin I. (7) | Wu Tung-Lin | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Charlton J. (Q) | Te R. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Peliwo F. (Q) | Bar Biryukov P. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Watt J. (LL) | Shimabukuro S. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Uchiyama Y. (5) | Kikuchi Y. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Uesugi K. (RET.) (Q) | Huang T. (Q) | 1 : 1 |
| 15 | Castelnuovo L. (Alt) | Uchida K. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Xiao L. (WC) | Noguchi R. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sekulic P. | Tokuda R. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Moriya H. | Crawford O. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Sun F. (4) | Shin S. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Isomura K. | Cui J. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Simakin I. (7) | Charlton J. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Peliwo F. | Shimabukuro S. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Uchiyama Y. (5) | Huang T. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Uchida K. | Noguchi R. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Tokuda R. | Crawford O. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Shin S. | Isomura K. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Simakin I. (7) | Shimabukuro S. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Uchiyama Y. (5) | Uchida K. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Crawford O. (6) | Isomura K. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Shimabukuro S. (3) | Uchiyama Y. (5) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Crawford O. (6) | Shimabukuro S. (3) | 1 : 2 |
