Result
2:0
14/04/2026 at 06:25 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Busan, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 64% | 68% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 69% (27/39) | 47% (15/32) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 50% (11/22) | 40% (6/15) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 4/6 | 2/7 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 56% (18/32) | 31% (12/39) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 50% (11/22) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 5/7 | 2/6 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 78% (7/9) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (38/61) | 47% (20/43) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (23/43) | 38% (23/61) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (61/104) | 41% (43/104) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 44% (4/9) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 22% (2/9) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 33% (6/18) |
Chances of winning
Sho Shimabukuro
54.6% | Ilia Simakin
45.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sho Shimabukuro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Ilia Simakin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (+11.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sho Shimabukuro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-11.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilia Simakin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sho Shimabukuro - Ilia Simakin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.57) |
|
2.04 ↓
(2.23) |
7.2%
(8.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Sho Shimabukuro - Ilia Simakin?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Simakin (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Ilia Simakin will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 112. Simakin is ranked ATP: 221.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Shimabukuro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shimabukuro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Sho Shimabukuro won against Ilia Simakin?
Sho Shimabukuro has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilia Simakin won against Sho Shimabukuro?
Ilia Simakin has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sho Shimabukuro - Ilia Simakin were as follows:
21.10.2025
Ilia Simakin
-
Sho Shimabukuro
Shimabukuro S. retired
29.08.2025
Ilia Simakin
-
Sho Shimabukuro
0:2
Latest results of Sho Shimabukuro
Latest results of Ilia Simakin
