Hammarby vs Malmö: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Swedish Allsvenskan Hammarby - Malmö
Result
2:0
23/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Allsvenskan - Round 5
  • Referee: Al-Hakim M. (Swe)
Hammarby - Malmö - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.800.40
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
87% (451/516)85% (398/467)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.800.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.620.29
Total shots
137
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2217
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1219
Passes
87% (451/516)85% (398/467)
Long passes
53% (25/47)45% (23/51)
Passes in final third
83% (137/165)73% (97/133)
Crosses
24% (4/17)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.620.41
Fouls
1912
Tackles
56% (15/27)78% (18/23)
Duels won
5365
Clearances Total
1826
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.290.62
Goals prevented
0.29-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Johnsen L. 🟨,
  • 32', Eriksson V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 70', Ali T. , Haksabanovic S. ,
  • 73', Haksabanovic S. 🟨,
  • 74', 1 - 0, Tounekti S. , Besara N. (A),
  • 75', Abraham P. , Boudah A. ,
  • 82', Skogmar A. , Christiansen A. ,
  • 82', Rosengren O. , Berg O. ,
  • 84', Tounekti S. , Strand S. ,
  • 85', 2 - 0, Karlsson M. ,
  • 87', Zatterstrom N. , Gudjohnsen D. T. ,
  • 87', Botheim E. , Kiese I. ,
  • 90+2', Tekie T. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Tekie T. , Fofana I. ,

Chances of winning


Hammarby
41.3%
Draw
28.5%
Malmö
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.2% 26.9% 36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 27.3% 36.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hammarby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hammarby's performance.
  • Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Malmö might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Malmö could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Hammarby - Malmö Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.6)
    3.32
    (3.5)
    3.15
    (2.55)
    5.3%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Hammarby - Malmö?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Hammarby will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Malmö will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hammarby: 25.5%74.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Hammarby (votes: 1 - 25%). Malmö (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Hammarby won 0.
    • Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Hammarby: Collander D. (Knee Injury) Johansson O. (Injury) Winther F. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Malmö: Dahlin J. (Knee Injury) Holmquist S. (Back Injury) Lajqi G. (Knee Injury) Lewicki O. (Calf Injury) Sigurdsson A. (Inactive) Tinnerholm A. (Groin Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Hammarby won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 21:41 (average 1.1:2.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Hammarby won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:16 (average 1.4:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hammarby - Malmö were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Hammarby - Malmö 2:2
    07.04.2024 Malmö - Hammarby 2:0
    17.09.2023 Hammarby - Malmö 1:3
    01.10.2022 Malmö - Hammarby 0:0
    Latest results of Hammarby
    18.04.2025 Mjällby - Hammarby 3:1
    13.04.2025 Hammarby - Djurgården 2:0
    06.04.2025 Brommapojkarna - Hammarby 0:2
    30.03.2025 Hammarby - IFK Göteborg 4:0
    22.03.2025 HJK - Hammarby 0:3
    Latest results of Malmö
    18.04.2025 Malmö - Sirius 1:1
    14.04.2025 AIK - Malmö 0:0
    07.04.2025 Malmö - Elfsborg 2:1
    29.03.2025 Djurgården - Malmö 0:1
    10.03.2025 Malmö - Elfsborg 1:0
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby15104129:121734
    2Hammarby15103226:91733
    3AIK1585221:14729
    4Elfsborg1482425:17826
    5Malmo FF1566320:11924
    6GAIS1457218:11722
    7Goteborg1471619:20-122
    8Djurgarden1454514:16-219
    9Hacken1453620:24-418
    10Brommapojkarna1451817:19-216
    11Halmstad1451813:27-1416
    12Norrkoping1443721:25-415
    13Sirius1434720:25-513
    14Degerfors1441918:30-1213
    15Oster1433812:19-712
    16Varnamo14041011:25-144

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Allsvenskan (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Superettan

    Which TV channels are streaming of Hammarby - Malmö?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
    finlandFinlandMax, Veikkaus TV
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    serbiaSerbiaSportklub
    swedenSwedenDiscovery+, max Extra 1, Max, TV4 Play
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