Result
2:3
23/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 4
- Referee: Karlsson K. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.83 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (393/472) | 84% (294/352) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 2.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (393/472) | 84% (294/352) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (24/52) | 47% (21/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (105/143) | 77% (82/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.10 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (24/26) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.01 | 1.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.99 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Soumah M. ⚽,
- 20', Kurtulus B. ↓, Djuric A. ↑,
- 45+3', Rosengren O. 🟨,
- 45+3', Persson J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Lundbergh T. ↓, Skogmar A. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 1, Haksabanovic S. ⚽,
- 58', Nilden C. ↓, Svensson V. ↑,
- 58', Persson J. ↓, Jonsson N. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 2, Bjerkebo I. ⚽, Lindberg M. (A),
- 65', Skogmar A. 🟨,
- 65', 1 - 3, Ure R. ⚽, Jonsson N. (A),
- 68', Sjostrand O. ↓, Gudjohnsen D. T. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 3, Skogmar A. ⚽, Stryger J. (A),
- 78', Ali T. ↓, John N. ↑,
- 78', Haksabanovic S. ↓, Sigurdsson A. ↑,
- 86', Bjerkebo I. ↓, Ekstrom V. ↑,
- 89', Jonsson N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Malmö
38% | Draw
26.7% | Sirius
35.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Malmö's form might have worsened.Sirius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sirius's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Malmö, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sirius, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Malmö - Sirius Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↑
(2.06) |
3.52 ↓
(3.88) |
2.67 ↓
(3.18) |
6.2%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Malmö - Sirius?
Users Predictions:
Malmö will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 2.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Malmö might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Malmö: Christiansen A.
(Inactive)
Ekong E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Sirius: Milleskog N.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Sirius: Sandberg S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 55:24. (average 2.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Malmö won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 29:9. (average 2.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Malmö won against Sirius?
Malmö has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sirius won against Malmö?
Sirius has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Malmö - Sirius were as follows:
05.10.2025
Sirius
-
Malmö
5:1
18.04.2025
Malmö
-
Sirius
1:1
27.07.2024
Malmö
-
Sirius
0:1
19.07.2024
Sirius
-
Malmö
3:4
28.08.2023
Sirius
-
Malmö
1:3
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sirius | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 13 |
| 2 | Elfsborg | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Malmo FF | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Hacken | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Hammarby | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 8 |
| 6 | Vasteras SK | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | Degerfors | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Djurgarden | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | AIK | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Mjallby | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 12 | Orgryte | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:12 | -6 | 5 |
| 13 | Kalmar | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Goteborg | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | GAIS | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
