Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish LaLiga
Soccer Spanish LaLiga Sevilla - Atlético Madrid
Result
1:2
06/04/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga - Round 30
  • Referee: Soto Grado C. (Esp)
Sevilla - Atlético Madrid - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.32
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
77
Passes
84% (361/429)89% (474/535)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.191.63
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
1829
Through passes
100% (1/1)0% (0/1)
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
84% (361/429)89% (474/535)
Long passes
45% (26/58)56% (29/52)
Passes in final third
64% (62/97)79% (109/138)
Crosses
27% (4/15)5% (1/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.550.31
Fouls
1412
Tackles
68% (15/22)67% (12/18)
Duels won
5750
Clearances Total
3929
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.631.19
Goals prevented
-0.370.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Agoume L. ⚽,
  • 11', Vargas R. ↓, Ejuke C. ↑,
  • 25', 1 - 1, Alvarez J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Molina N. ↓, Galan J. ↑,
  • 46', Pedrosa A. ↓, Gudelj N. ↑,
  • 51', Simeone G. 🟨,
  • 55', Griezmann A. ↓, Sorloth A. ↑,
  • 56', Azpilicueta C. ↓, Koke ↑,
  • 57', Lenglet C. 🟨,
  • 68', Simeone G. ↓, Riquelme R. ↑,
  • 69', Lokonga A. S. ↓, Niguez S. ↑,
  • 69', Ejuke C. ↓, Romero I. ↑,
  • 78', Gallagher C. ↓, Lemar T. ↑,
  • 85', Le Normand R. 🟨,
  • 90', Agoume L. ↓, Idumbo S. ↑,
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, Barrios P. ⚽, Llorente M. (A),
  • 90+6', Salas K. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Sorloth A. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4fy6uejt

Chances of winning


Sevilla
27.5%		Draw
29.7%		Atlético Madrid
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.1% 29% 41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30% 28.1% 40.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
    •

    Sevilla - Atlético Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.49 ↑
    (3.3)    		 3.23 ↓
    (3.31)    		 2.25 ↓
    (2.29)    		 4.1%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : ESPN Deportes
    •
    What is the prediction for Sevilla - Atlético Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Sevilla will win (votes: 8 - 14%). Atlético will win (votes: 44 - 77.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 8.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 66.3% – 88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Sevilla (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Atlético (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sevilla won 1.
    • Recent matches Sevilla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Atlético has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Atlético could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Atlético will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Sevilla: Nianzou T. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlético: Correa A. (Suspended) Gimenez J. M. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Sevilla: Sanchez J. (Injury) Suso (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Sevilla won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 23:36 (average 1.2:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sevilla won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sevilla - Atlético Madrid were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Atlético Madrid - Sevilla 4:3
    11.02.2024 Sevilla - Atlético Madrid 1:0
    25.01.2024 Atlético Madrid - Sevilla 1:0
    23.12.2023 Atlético Madrid - Sevilla 1:0
    05.08.2023 Atlético Madrid - Sevilla 1:1
    Latest results of Sevilla
    30.03.2025 Betis - Sevilla 2:1 ✺
    09.03.2025 Real Sociedad - Sevilla 0:1 ✺
    01.03.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla 1:1 ✺
    24.02.2025 Sevilla - Mallorca 1:1 ✺
    16.02.2025 Valladolid - Sevilla 0:4 ✺
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    02.04.2025 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 0:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 Espanyol - Atlético Madrid 1:1 ✺
    12.03.2025 Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid 1:1 ✺
    09.03.2025 Getafe - Atlético Madrid 2:1 ✺
    04.03.2025 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 2:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Sociedad00000:000
    2Elche00000:000
    3Alaves00000:000
    4Celta Vigo00000:000
    5Rayo Vallecano00000:000
    6Real Madrid00000:000
    7Villarreal00000:000
    8Barcelona00000:000
    9Atl. Madrid00000:000
    10Sevilla00000:000
    11Mallorca00000:000
    12Valencia00000:000
    13Ath Bilbao00000:000
    14Espanyol00000:000
    15Betis00000:000
    16Getafe00000:000
    17Osasuna00000:000
    18Levante00000:000
    19Girona00000:000
    20R. Oviedo00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Sevilla - Atlético Madrid?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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