Result
05/05/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Arsenal
57.5% | Draw
24.4% | Atlético Madrid
18.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arsenal that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Arsenal - Atlético Madrid Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.63) |
3.95 ↓
(4.04) |
5.34 ↓
(5.49) |
3.6%
(4.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Arsenal - Atlético Madrid?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Atlético will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Arsenal is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal won against Atlético Madrid?
Arsenal has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Madrid won against Arsenal?
Atlético Madrid has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal - Atlético Madrid were as follows:
29.04.2026
Atlético Madrid
-
Arsenal
1:1
21.10.2025
Arsenal
-
Atlético Madrid
4:0
Latest results of Arsenal
Latest results of Atlético Madrid
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Monaco (21) | PSG (11) | 2 : 2, 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Chelsea (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Galatasaray (20) | Juventus (13) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 4 | Liverpool (3) | Bye | |
| 5 | Benfica (24) | Real Madrid (9) | 1 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Manchester City (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Dortmund (17) | Atalanta (15) | 1 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayern Munich (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Qarabag (22) | Newcastle (12) | 2 : 3, 1 : 6 |
| 10 | Barcelona (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV (19) | Atl. Madrid (14) | 1 : 4, 3 : 3 |
| 12 | Tottenham (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Inter (10) | 2 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Sporting CP (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Olympiacos Piraeus (18) | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | 0 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Arsenal (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Chelsea (6) | 3 : 0, 5 : 2 |
| 2 | Galatasaray (20) | Liverpool (3) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Real Madrid (9) | Manchester City (8) | 2 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Atalanta (15) | Bayern Munich (2) | 1 : 4, 1 : 6 |
| 5 | Newcastle (12) | Barcelona (5) | 2 : 7, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Atl. Madrid (14) | Tottenham (4) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 7 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Sporting CP (7) | 0 : 5, 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | Arsenal (1) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Liverpool (3) | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Real Madrid (9) | Bayern Munich (2) | 3 : 4, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Barcelona (5) | Atl. Madrid (14) | 2 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Sporting CP (7) | Arsenal (1) | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Bayern Munich (2) | 5 : 4 |
| 2 | Atl. Madrid (14) | Arsenal (1) | 1 : 1 |
Final
